The 90% cap on wagering loss deductions under IRC Section 165(d) took effect for tax years beginning after December 31, 2025, via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, replacing the prior 100% offset against winnings while making related TCJA rules permanent. Multiple repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, have drawn bipartisan sponsors and gaming-industry support since early 2026, yet none have advanced past committee or Rules Committee hurdles in the Republican-led House. Recent advocacy, such as UFC’s Dana White urging executive intervention, has not altered the legislative calendar. With narrow majorities, revenue scoring concerns, and no floor votes scheduled before year-end, traders assign an 81% probability that the cap will remain through 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật20% khả năng
$71,482 KL.
$71,482 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
20% khả năng
$71,482 KL.
$71,482 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on wagering loss deductions under IRC Section 165(d) took effect for tax years beginning after December 31, 2025, via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, replacing the prior 100% offset against winnings while making related TCJA rules permanent. Multiple repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, have drawn bipartisan sponsors and gaming-industry support since early 2026, yet none have advanced past committee or Rules Committee hurdles in the Republican-led House. Recent advocacy, such as UFC’s Dana White urging executive intervention, has not altered the legislative calendar. With narrow majorities, revenue scoring concerns, and no floor votes scheduled before year-end, traders assign an 81% probability that the cap will remain through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$71,482Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on wagering loss deductions under IRC Section 165(d) took effect for tax years beginning after December 31, 2025, via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, replacing the prior 100% offset against winnings while making related TCJA rules permanent. Multiple repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, have drawn bipartisan sponsors and gaming-industry support since early 2026, yet none have advanced past committee or Rules Committee hurdles in the Republican-led House. Recent advocacy, such as UFC’s Dana White urging executive intervention, has not altered the legislative calendar. With narrow majorities, revenue scoring concerns, and no floor votes scheduled before year-end, traders assign an 81% probability that the cap will remain through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$71,482Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The 90% cap on wagering loss deductions under IRC Section 165(d) took effect for tax years beginning after December 31, 2025, via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, replacing the prior 100% offset against winnings while making related TCJA rules permanent. Multiple repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, have drawn bipartisan sponsors and gaming-industry support since early 2026, yet none have advanced past committee or Rules Committee hurdles in the Republican-led House. Recent advocacy, such as UFC’s Dana White urging executive intervention, has not altered the legislative calendar. With narrow majorities, revenue scoring concerns, and no floor votes scheduled before year-end, traders assign an 81% probability that the cap will remain through 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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