Polymarket traders price a 37.5% implied probability for June WTI crude oil (CLM26) settling above $84, narrowly ahead of 29.5% for $77-$84, reflecting closely contested sentiment amid recent volatility. The primary catalyst was yesterday's 11% plunge in WTI spot to $83.85 settlement—touching $80.56 intraday—after Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz, easing acute supply disruption fears from prior Middle East escalations that had spiked prices near $120 earlier in April. Bearish pressures from OPEC+ output hikes, mixed U.S. inventories (EIA draw of 900,000 barrels week ending April 10 offset by API builds), and IEA's forecast for contracting global demand in 2026 weigh against lingering geopolitical risks. Key swing factors include tomorrow's EIA report and China's subdued recovery trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
$77-$84 39%
>$84 38%
$70-$77 14.3%
$63-$70 9.7%
$134,537 KL.
$134,537 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
2%
$42-$49
2%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
10%
$70-$77
14%
$77-$84
30%
>$84
38%
$77-$84 39%
>$84 38%
$70-$77 14.3%
$63-$70 9.7%
$134,537 KL.
$134,537 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
$16,148 KL.
2%
$42-$49
$4,551 KL.
2%
$49-$56
$5,737 KL.
2%
$56-$63
$5,384 KL.
4%
$63-$70
$18,877 KL.
10%
$70-$77
$7,225 KL.
14%
$77-$84
$10,368 KL.
30%
>$84
$66,247 KL.
38%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Polymarket traders price a 37.5% implied probability for June WTI crude oil (CLM26) settling above $84, narrowly ahead of 29.5% for $77-$84, reflecting closely contested sentiment amid recent volatility. The primary catalyst was yesterday's 11% plunge in WTI spot to $83.85 settlement—touching $80.56 intraday—after Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz, easing acute supply disruption fears from prior Middle East escalations that had spiked prices near $120 earlier in April. Bearish pressures from OPEC+ output hikes, mixed U.S. inventories (EIA draw of 900,000 barrels week ending April 10 offset by API builds), and IEA's forecast for contracting global demand in 2026 weigh against lingering geopolitical risks. Key swing factors include tomorrow's EIA report and China's subdued recovery trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Thị trường mở: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$134,537Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Polymarket traders price a 37.5% implied probability for June WTI crude oil (CLM26) settling above $84, narrowly ahead of 29.5% for $77-$84, reflecting closely contested sentiment amid recent volatility. The primary catalyst was yesterday's 11% plunge in WTI spot to $83.85 settlement—touching $80.56 intraday—after Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz, easing acute supply disruption fears from prior Middle East escalations that had spiked prices near $120 earlier in April. Bearish pressures from OPEC+ output hikes, mixed U.S. inventories (EIA draw of 900,000 barrels week ending April 10 offset by API builds), and IEA's forecast for contracting global demand in 2026 weigh against lingering geopolitical risks. Key swing factors include tomorrow's EIA report and China's subdued recovery trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Khối lượng
$134,537Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETPolymarket traders price a 37.5% implied probability for June WTI crude oil (CLM26) settling above $84, narrowly ahead of 29.5% for $77-$84, reflecting closely contested sentiment amid recent volatility. The primary catalyst was yesterday's 11% plunge in WTI spot to $83.85 settlement—touching $80.56 intraday—after Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz, easing acute supply disruption fears from prior Middle East escalations that had spiked prices near $120 earlier in April. Bearish pressures from OPEC+ output hikes, mixed U.S. inventories (EIA draw of 900,000 barrels week ending April 10 offset by API builds), and IEA's forecast for contracting global demand in 2026 weigh against lingering geopolitical risks. Key swing factors include tomorrow's EIA report and China's subdued recovery trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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