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icon for Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

icon for Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

<1% khả năng
Polymarket

$24,798 KL.

<1% khả năng
Polymarket

$24,798 KL.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical. Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting. If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Discord's status page recorded no critical (red) incidents through the end of May 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus on "No." The platform experienced only a resolved API-error outage on May 8 that remained classified as major (orange) and was contained within hours by engineering teams, consistent with prior rapid response patterns. Subsequent weeks showed routine minor or major issues without escalation to critical severity, supported by stable infrastructure and no widespread client exploits materializing from the disclosed CVE-2026-0776 privilege-escalation flaw. With the resolution window now closed, the high implied probability reflects verified operational continuity rather than speculation, though traders note that any last-minute infrastructure failure could theoretically have altered the outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.

Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.

If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Khối lượng
$24,798
Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026
Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical. Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting. If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.

Kết quả đề xuất: No

Không tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical. Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting. If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Discord's status page recorded no critical (red) incidents through the end of May 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus on "No." The platform experienced only a resolved API-error outage on May 8 that remained classified as major (orange) and was contained within hours by engineering teams, consistent with prior rapid response patterns. Subsequent weeks showed routine minor or major issues without escalation to critical severity, supported by stable infrastructure and no widespread client exploits materializing from the disclosed CVE-2026-0776 privilege-escalation flaw. With the resolution window now closed, the high implied probability reflects verified operational continuity rather than speculation, though traders note that any last-minute infrastructure failure could theoretically have altered the outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.

Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.

If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Khối lượng
$24,798
Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026
Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical. Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting. If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.

Kết quả đề xuất: No

Không tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: No

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Critical Discord Incident by May 31?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần "Có" hoặc "Không" dựa trên việc họ tin sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra hay không. Xác suất cộng đồng hiện tại là 0% cho "Yes." Ví dụ, nếu "Có" ở giá 0¢, thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 0% khả năng sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Critical Discord Incident by May 31?" đã tạo $24.8K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Apr 27, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Critical Discord Incident by May 31?," chỉ cần chọn bạn tin câu trả lời là "Có" hay "Không." Mỗi phía có giá hiện tại phản ánh xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu bạn mua cổ phần "Có" và kết quả là "Có," mỗi cổ phần trả $1. Nếu kết quả là "Không," cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Xác suất hiện tại cho "Critical Discord Incident by May 31?" là 0% cho "Yes." Điều này có nghĩa cộng đồng Polymarket hiện tin rằng có 0% khả năng sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra. Tỷ lệ này cập nhật theo thời gian thực dựa trên giao dịch thực tế, cung cấp tín hiệu liên tục cập nhật về điều thị trường kỳ vọng sẽ xảy ra.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Critical Discord Incident by May 31?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.