Thomas Chalifoux leads the Republican primary for Florida’s 9th Congressional District, scheduled for August 18, 2026, as traders price in his established profile as the 2024 GOP nominee against incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. His background as a retired U.S. Army colonel, former Osceola County school board member, and local businessman provides name recognition and party infrastructure advantages ahead of the closed primary. The remaining candidates, including Marcus Carter, Jorge Malavet, Howard Steven Rance, and Justin Story, draw lower implied probabilities due to limited prior statewide or district-level visibility and later entry into the race. With qualifying deadlines approaching, no major endorsements, polling shifts, or campaign events have altered the current positioning in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-09 Republican Primary Winner
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner
Thomas Chalifoux 61%
Marcus Carter 31.3%
Jorge Malavet 8%
Howard Steven Rance 5.2%
$19,805 KL.
$19,805 KL.
Thomas Chalifoux
52%
Marcus Carter
31%
Jorge Malavet
8%
Howard Steven Rance
5%
Justin Story
4%
Thomas Chalifoux 61%
Marcus Carter 31.3%
Jorge Malavet 8%
Howard Steven Rance 5.2%
$19,805 KL.
$19,805 KL.
Thomas Chalifoux
52%
Marcus Carter
31%
Jorge Malavet
8%
Howard Steven Rance
5%
Justin Story
4%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Thomas Chalifoux leads the Republican primary for Florida’s 9th Congressional District, scheduled for August 18, 2026, as traders price in his established profile as the 2024 GOP nominee against incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. His background as a retired U.S. Army colonel, former Osceola County school board member, and local businessman provides name recognition and party infrastructure advantages ahead of the closed primary. The remaining candidates, including Marcus Carter, Jorge Malavet, Howard Steven Rance, and Justin Story, draw lower implied probabilities due to limited prior statewide or district-level visibility and later entry into the race. With qualifying deadlines approaching, no major endorsements, polling shifts, or campaign events have altered the current positioning in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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