Democratic incumbent Joyce Beatty holds a commanding position in Ohio's 3rd congressional district, reflected in the market's 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The seat carries a strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, and Beatty easily won her May 2026 primary. Her Republican opponent, Cleophus Dulaney, faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. Primary outcomes, fundraising patterns, and the absence of competitive polling or notable shifts since redistricting have reinforced trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Beatty, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOH-03 House Election Winner
$47,349 KL.
$47,349 KL.
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$47,349 KL.
$47,349 KL.
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Joyce Beatty holds a commanding position in Ohio's 3rd congressional district, reflected in the market's 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The seat carries a strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, and Beatty easily won her May 2026 primary. Her Republican opponent, Cleophus Dulaney, faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. Primary outcomes, fundraising patterns, and the absence of competitive polling or notable shifts since redistricting have reinforced trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Beatty, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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