Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding position in the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republicanos candidate, with recent polls showing first-round support between 41% and 52% against Fernando Haddad’s 26–35%. His advantage stems from a record focused on state infrastructure, economic management, and administrative continuity since 2023, which has consolidated support among business interests and center-right voters ahead of the October 4 first round. Haddad’s PT candidacy draws core left-leaning backing but faces structural limits in the state’s interior and suburban districts. Minor candidates such as Erika Hilton, Kim Kataguiri, and Márcio França register negligible shares and do not alter the projected outcome. A first-round victory remains the consensus expectation unless unforeseen events—such as major scandals or sharp economic reversals—materialize in the final weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTarcísio de Freitas 96.6%
Fernando Haddad 3.0%
Erika Hilton <1%
Kim Kataguiri <1%
$284,393 KL.
$284,393 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
97%
Fernando Haddad
3%
Erika Hilton
1%
Kim Kataguiri
<1%
Márcio França
<1%
Tarcísio de Freitas 96.6%
Fernando Haddad 3.0%
Erika Hilton <1%
Kim Kataguiri <1%
$284,393 KL.
$284,393 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
$127,129 KL.
97%
Fernando Haddad
$47,839 KL.
3%
Erika Hilton
$22,704 KL.
1%
Kim Kataguiri
$76,052 KL.
<1%
Márcio França
$10,668 KL.
<1%
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding position in the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republicanos candidate, with recent polls showing first-round support between 41% and 52% against Fernando Haddad’s 26–35%. His advantage stems from a record focused on state infrastructure, economic management, and administrative continuity since 2023, which has consolidated support among business interests and center-right voters ahead of the October 4 first round. Haddad’s PT candidacy draws core left-leaning backing but faces structural limits in the state’s interior and suburban districts. Minor candidates such as Erika Hilton, Kim Kataguiri, and Márcio França register negligible shares and do not alter the projected outcome. A first-round victory remains the consensus expectation unless unforeseen events—such as major scandals or sharp economic reversals—materialize in the final weeks.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ET
Khối lượng
$284,393Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding position in the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republicanos candidate, with recent polls showing first-round support between 41% and 52% against Fernando Haddad’s 26–35%. His advantage stems from a record focused on state infrastructure, economic management, and administrative continuity since 2023, which has consolidated support among business interests and center-right voters ahead of the October 4 first round. Haddad’s PT candidacy draws core left-leaning backing but faces structural limits in the state’s interior and suburban districts. Minor candidates such as Erika Hilton, Kim Kataguiri, and Márcio França register negligible shares and do not alter the projected outcome. A first-round victory remains the consensus expectation unless unforeseen events—such as major scandals or sharp economic reversals—materialize in the final weeks.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$284,393Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding position in the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republicanos candidate, with recent polls showing first-round support between 41% and 52% against Fernando Haddad’s 26–35%. His advantage stems from a record focused on state infrastructure, economic management, and administrative continuity since 2023, which has consolidated support among business interests and center-right voters ahead of the October 4 first round. Haddad’s PT candidacy draws core left-leaning backing but faces structural limits in the state’s interior and suburban districts. Minor candidates such as Erika Hilton, Kim Kataguiri, and Márcio França register negligible shares and do not alter the projected outcome. A first-round victory remains the consensus expectation unless unforeseen events—such as major scandals or sharp economic reversals—materialize in the final weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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