Rui Costa leads trader pricing in the Bahia Senate race at 66% implied probability for first place, driven by his PT nomination alongside incumbent Jaques Wagner, strong party coalition backing that includes MDB, PSD, PSB, and others, and his high-profile record as former governor and outgoing presidential Chief of Staff. Recent campaign launches and joint rallies with Wagner have reinforced this positioning ahead of the October 4 vote for the two open seats. Lower-priced contenders such as João Roma, Angelo Coronel, and Marcelo Millet face steeper structural barriers from Bahia's established PT dominance and limited recent polling momentum. Traders appear to weigh the party's organizational edge and Rui Costa's name recognition most heavily in current consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRui Costa 67%
Marcelo Millet 22%
Professora Delliana 21%
Angelo Coronel 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Rui Costa
67%
Marcelo Millet
22%
Professora Delliana
21%
Angelo Coronel
19%
João Roma
19%
Jaques Wagner
19%
Marcelo Carvalho
18%
Carlos Sodré
17%
Marcelo Santtana
14%
Gregorio Gould
4%
Rui Costa 67%
Marcelo Millet 22%
Professora Delliana 21%
Angelo Coronel 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Rui Costa
$30 KL.
67%
Marcelo Millet
$10 KL.
22%
Professora Delliana
$10 KL.
21%
Angelo Coronel
$10 KL.
19%
João Roma
$10 KL.
19%
Jaques Wagner
$10 KL.
19%
Marcelo Carvalho
$21 KL.
18%
Carlos Sodré
$21 KL.
17%
Marcelo Santtana
$10 KL.
14%
Gregorio Gould
$62 KL.
4%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rui Costa leads trader pricing in the Bahia Senate race at 66% implied probability for first place, driven by his PT nomination alongside incumbent Jaques Wagner, strong party coalition backing that includes MDB, PSD, PSB, and others, and his high-profile record as former governor and outgoing presidential Chief of Staff. Recent campaign launches and joint rallies with Wagner have reinforced this positioning ahead of the October 4 vote for the two open seats. Lower-priced contenders such as João Roma, Angelo Coronel, and Marcelo Millet face steeper structural barriers from Bahia's established PT dominance and limited recent polling momentum. Traders appear to weigh the party's organizational edge and Rui Costa's name recognition most heavily in current consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$194Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rui Costa leads trader pricing in the Bahia Senate race at 66% implied probability for first place, driven by his PT nomination alongside incumbent Jaques Wagner, strong party coalition backing that includes MDB, PSD, PSB, and others, and his high-profile record as former governor and outgoing presidential Chief of Staff. Recent campaign launches and joint rallies with Wagner have reinforced this positioning ahead of the October 4 vote for the two open seats. Lower-priced contenders such as João Roma, Angelo Coronel, and Marcelo Millet face steeper structural barriers from Bahia's established PT dominance and limited recent polling momentum. Traders appear to weigh the party's organizational edge and Rui Costa's name recognition most heavily in current consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$194Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rui Costa leads trader pricing in the Bahia Senate race at 66% implied probability for first place, driven by his PT nomination alongside incumbent Jaques Wagner, strong party coalition backing that includes MDB, PSD, PSB, and others, and his high-profile record as former governor and outgoing presidential Chief of Staff. Recent campaign launches and joint rallies with Wagner have reinforced this positioning ahead of the October 4 vote for the two open seats. Lower-priced contenders such as João Roma, Angelo Coronel, and Marcelo Millet face steeper structural barriers from Bahia's established PT dominance and limited recent polling momentum. Traders appear to weigh the party's organizational edge and Rui Costa's name recognition most heavily in current consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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