Recent polling has strengthened Ciro Gomes's position in the Ceará gubernatorial race ahead of the October 2026 first round. Surveys from AtlasIntel and Datafolha in mid-August show him leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas by 5 to 19 points in first-round voting intentions, with Ciro reaching the high 40s to low 50s percent range. This shift aligns with broader trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Elmano, seeking a second term after winning in 2022, trails amid these results, while minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible support. Alliances forming around the PSDB-led ticket and the short timeline to the vote further anchor the frontrunner dynamic, though runoff scenarios remain possible if no candidate secures an outright majority.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 71%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$156,642 KL.
$156,642 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
71%
Elmano de Freitas
30%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 71%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$156,642 KL.
$156,642 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$83,160 KL.
71%
Elmano de Freitas
$28,581 KL.
30%
Eduardo Girão
$11,888 KL.
1%
Roberto Cláudio
$11,226 KL.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$10,317 KL.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$11,470 KL.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling has strengthened Ciro Gomes's position in the Ceará gubernatorial race ahead of the October 2026 first round. Surveys from AtlasIntel and Datafolha in mid-August show him leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas by 5 to 19 points in first-round voting intentions, with Ciro reaching the high 40s to low 50s percent range. This shift aligns with broader trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Elmano, seeking a second term after winning in 2022, trails amid these results, while minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible support. Alliances forming around the PSDB-led ticket and the short timeline to the vote further anchor the frontrunner dynamic, though runoff scenarios remain possible if no candidate secures an outright majority.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Khối lượng
$156,642Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling has strengthened Ciro Gomes's position in the Ceará gubernatorial race ahead of the October 2026 first round. Surveys from AtlasIntel and Datafolha in mid-August show him leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas by 5 to 19 points in first-round voting intentions, with Ciro reaching the high 40s to low 50s percent range. This shift aligns with broader trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Elmano, seeking a second term after winning in 2022, trails amid these results, while minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible support. Alliances forming around the PSDB-led ticket and the short timeline to the vote further anchor the frontrunner dynamic, though runoff scenarios remain possible if no candidate secures an outright majority.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$156,642Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling has strengthened Ciro Gomes's position in the Ceará gubernatorial race ahead of the October 2026 first round. Surveys from AtlasIntel and Datafolha in mid-August show him leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas by 5 to 19 points in first-round voting intentions, with Ciro reaching the high 40s to low 50s percent range. This shift aligns with broader trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Elmano, seeking a second term after winning in 2022, trails amid these results, while minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible support. Alliances forming around the PSDB-led ticket and the short timeline to the vote further anchor the frontrunner dynamic, though runoff scenarios remain possible if no candidate secures an outright majority.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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