Ciro Gomes (PSDB), a former Ceará governor and national political figure, holds a commanding position in the 2026 race due to consistent leads in recent first-round and runoff polling, including Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys from mid-August showing him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) by 5–19 points. Traders appear to price in Gomes’s stronger coalition-building momentum, including formal endorsements from parties such as PL and UNIÃO, alongside higher name recognition and favorable second-round simulations. Elmano de Freitas trails as the reelection candidate but remains competitive in some early surveys. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão (NOVO), Capitão Wagner (UNIÃO), Camilo Santana, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support, reflecting limited polling traction and weaker organizational backing ahead of the October vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 72%
Elmano de Freitas 27%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Camilo Santana <1%
$141,965 KL.
$141,965 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
72%
Elmano de Freitas
27%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 72%
Elmano de Freitas 27%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Camilo Santana <1%
$141,965 KL.
$141,965 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$77,932 KL.
72%
Elmano de Freitas
$25,073 KL.
27%
Eduardo Girão
$10,680 KL.
1%
Camilo Santana
$8,357 KL.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$10,261 KL.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$9,663 KL.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB), a former Ceará governor and national political figure, holds a commanding position in the 2026 race due to consistent leads in recent first-round and runoff polling, including Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys from mid-August showing him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) by 5–19 points. Traders appear to price in Gomes’s stronger coalition-building momentum, including formal endorsements from parties such as PL and UNIÃO, alongside higher name recognition and favorable second-round simulations. Elmano de Freitas trails as the reelection candidate but remains competitive in some early surveys. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão (NOVO), Capitão Wagner (UNIÃO), Camilo Santana, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support, reflecting limited polling traction and weaker organizational backing ahead of the October vote.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Khối lượng
$141,965Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB), a former Ceará governor and national political figure, holds a commanding position in the 2026 race due to consistent leads in recent first-round and runoff polling, including Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys from mid-August showing him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) by 5–19 points. Traders appear to price in Gomes’s stronger coalition-building momentum, including formal endorsements from parties such as PL and UNIÃO, alongside higher name recognition and favorable second-round simulations. Elmano de Freitas trails as the reelection candidate but remains competitive in some early surveys. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão (NOVO), Capitão Wagner (UNIÃO), Camilo Santana, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support, reflecting limited polling traction and weaker organizational backing ahead of the October vote.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$141,965Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB), a former Ceará governor and national political figure, holds a commanding position in the 2026 race due to consistent leads in recent first-round and runoff polling, including Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys from mid-August showing him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) by 5–19 points. Traders appear to price in Gomes’s stronger coalition-building momentum, including formal endorsements from parties such as PL and UNIÃO, alongside higher name recognition and favorable second-round simulations. Elmano de Freitas trails as the reelection candidate but remains competitive in some early surveys. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão (NOVO), Capitão Wagner (UNIÃO), Camilo Santana, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support, reflecting limited polling traction and weaker organizational backing ahead of the October vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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