Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic control of the Senate at 54.5% following the 2026 midterms, a narrow edge over Republicans at 45.5% despite forecasters like the 270toWin consensus projecting GOP retention with 51 seats amid their defense of 22 mostly safe red-state seats versus Democrats' 13. Recent polls reflect tight battlegrounds including Georgia (Ossoff leading +3%), North Carolina (D+7), Ohio special (R+1), and Texas (R+4), fueled by seven GOP retirements and opens in Michigan, New Hampshire, North Carolina, and Montana. Midterm penalties against the incumbent president's party historically create volatility; primary resolutions, generic ballot swings, candidate fundraising edges like New Hampshire's Pappas, and economic trends could generate separation before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtĐảng nào sẽ giành được Thượng viện vào năm 2026?
Đảng nào sẽ giành được Thượng viện vào năm 2026?
$2,028,270 KL.
$2,028,270 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Kiếm 4%
Đảng Dân chủ
55%
Đảng Cộng hòa
46%
$2,028,270 KL.
$2,028,270 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Kiếm 4%
Đảng Dân chủ
$1,098,070 KL.
55%
Đảng Cộng hòa
$930,200 KL.
46%
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic control of the Senate at 54.5% following the 2026 midterms, a narrow edge over Republicans at 45.5% despite forecasters like the 270toWin consensus projecting GOP retention with 51 seats amid their defense of 22 mostly safe red-state seats versus Democrats' 13. Recent polls reflect tight battlegrounds including Georgia (Ossoff leading +3%), North Carolina (D+7), Ohio special (R+1), and Texas (R+4), fueled by seven GOP retirements and opens in Michigan, New Hampshire, North Carolina, and Montana. Midterm penalties against the incumbent president's party historically create volatility; primary resolutions, generic ballot swings, candidate fundraising edges like New Hampshire's Pappas, and economic trends could generate separation before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Thị trường mở: Jul 11, 2025, 3:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,028,270Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 11, 2025, 3:47 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic control of the Senate at 54.5% following the 2026 midterms, a narrow edge over Republicans at 45.5% despite forecasters like the 270toWin consensus projecting GOP retention with 51 seats amid their defense of 22 mostly safe red-state seats versus Democrats' 13. Recent polls reflect tight battlegrounds including Georgia (Ossoff leading +3%), North Carolina (D+7), Ohio special (R+1), and Texas (R+4), fueled by seven GOP retirements and opens in Michigan, New Hampshire, North Carolina, and Montana. Midterm penalties against the incumbent president's party historically create volatility; primary resolutions, generic ballot swings, candidate fundraising edges like New Hampshire's Pappas, and economic trends could generate separation before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Khối lượng
$2,028,270Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 11, 2025, 3:47 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic control of the Senate at 54.5% following the 2026 midterms, a narrow edge over Republicans at 45.5% despite forecasters like the 270toWin consensus projecting GOP retention with 51 seats amid their defense of 22 mostly safe red-state seats versus Democrats' 13. Recent polls reflect tight battlegrounds including Georgia (Ossoff leading +3%), North Carolina (D+7), Ohio special (R+1), and Texas (R+4), fueled by seven GOP retirements and opens in Michigan, New Hampshire, North Carolina, and Montana. Midterm penalties against the incumbent president's party historically create volatility; primary resolutions, generic ballot swings, candidate fundraising edges like New Hampshire's Pappas, and economic trends could generate separation before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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