Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas holds a strong lead in trader pricing for New Hampshire’s open Senate seat after winning his September 8 primary by a wide margin over progressive challenger Karishma Manzur. Former Republican Sen. John E. Sununu similarly secured the GOP nomination against Scott Brown. Recent polling averages show Pappas ahead by low single digits in a race rated toss-up to lean Democratic by most forecasters, reflecting the state’s recent Democratic lean in Senate contests and Pappas’s statewide profile as a four-term House member. Sununu brings name recognition and prior Senate experience but faces the challenge of reclaiming a seat last held by a Republican in 2010. The market’s implied probabilities align with the wisdom of crowds assessing these structural and candidate-specific dynamics ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNew Hampshire Senate Election Winner
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
$103,168 KL.
$103,168 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Chris Pappas (D)
84%
John E. Sununu (R)
15%
$103,168 KL.
$103,168 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Chris Pappas (D)
$70,405 KL.
84%
John E. Sununu (R)
$32,763 KL.
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas holds a strong lead in trader pricing for New Hampshire’s open Senate seat after winning his September 8 primary by a wide margin over progressive challenger Karishma Manzur. Former Republican Sen. John E. Sununu similarly secured the GOP nomination against Scott Brown. Recent polling averages show Pappas ahead by low single digits in a race rated toss-up to lean Democratic by most forecasters, reflecting the state’s recent Democratic lean in Senate contests and Pappas’s statewide profile as a four-term House member. Sununu brings name recognition and prior Senate experience but faces the challenge of reclaiming a seat last held by a Republican in 2010. The market’s implied probabilities align with the wisdom of crowds assessing these structural and candidate-specific dynamics ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$103,168Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas holds a strong lead in trader pricing for New Hampshire’s open Senate seat after winning his September 8 primary by a wide margin over progressive challenger Karishma Manzur. Former Republican Sen. John E. Sununu similarly secured the GOP nomination against Scott Brown. Recent polling averages show Pappas ahead by low single digits in a race rated toss-up to lean Democratic by most forecasters, reflecting the state’s recent Democratic lean in Senate contests and Pappas’s statewide profile as a four-term House member. Sununu brings name recognition and prior Senate experience but faces the challenge of reclaiming a seat last held by a Republican in 2010. The market’s implied probabilities align with the wisdom of crowds assessing these structural and candidate-specific dynamics ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$103,168Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas holds a strong lead in trader pricing for New Hampshire’s open Senate seat after winning his September 8 primary by a wide margin over progressive challenger Karishma Manzur. Former Republican Sen. John E. Sununu similarly secured the GOP nomination against Scott Brown. Recent polling averages show Pappas ahead by low single digits in a race rated toss-up to lean Democratic by most forecasters, reflecting the state’s recent Democratic lean in Senate contests and Pappas’s statewide profile as a four-term House member. Sununu brings name recognition and prior Senate experience but faces the challenge of reclaiming a seat last held by a Republican in 2010. The market’s implied probabilities align with the wisdom of crowds assessing these structural and candidate-specific dynamics ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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