Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson and Democratic nominee Josh Turek in a race rated Lean Republican or Toss-up by most forecasters. The state’s consistent Republican tilt, underscored by Donald Trump’s 13-point 2024 margin, supports Hinson’s modest edge in trader consensus, reinforced by her substantial fundraising lead and congressional profile. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with averages near 44-47 percent and individual surveys alternating narrow leads. Democrats have launched attacks on Hinson’s record regarding tariffs, healthcare costs, and personal finances, while Hinson emphasizes cost-of-living issues and secured endorsements including from Trump. The November 3 general election remains sensitive to turnout among independents and suburban voters.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIowa Senate Election Winner
Iowa Senate Election Winner
$326,741 KL.
$326,741 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
57%
Josh Turek (D)
42%
$326,741 KL.
$326,741 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$169,446 KL.
57%
Josh Turek (D)
$157,294 KL.
42%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson and Democratic nominee Josh Turek in a race rated Lean Republican or Toss-up by most forecasters. The state’s consistent Republican tilt, underscored by Donald Trump’s 13-point 2024 margin, supports Hinson’s modest edge in trader consensus, reinforced by her substantial fundraising lead and congressional profile. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with averages near 44-47 percent and individual surveys alternating narrow leads. Democrats have launched attacks on Hinson’s record regarding tariffs, healthcare costs, and personal finances, while Hinson emphasizes cost-of-living issues and secured endorsements including from Trump. The November 3 general election remains sensitive to turnout among independents and suburban voters.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$326,741Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson and Democratic nominee Josh Turek in a race rated Lean Republican or Toss-up by most forecasters. The state’s consistent Republican tilt, underscored by Donald Trump’s 13-point 2024 margin, supports Hinson’s modest edge in trader consensus, reinforced by her substantial fundraising lead and congressional profile. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with averages near 44-47 percent and individual surveys alternating narrow leads. Democrats have launched attacks on Hinson’s record regarding tariffs, healthcare costs, and personal finances, while Hinson emphasizes cost-of-living issues and secured endorsements including from Trump. The November 3 general election remains sensitive to turnout among independents and suburban voters.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$326,741Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson and Democratic nominee Josh Turek in a race rated Lean Republican or Toss-up by most forecasters. The state’s consistent Republican tilt, underscored by Donald Trump’s 13-point 2024 margin, supports Hinson’s modest edge in trader consensus, reinforced by her substantial fundraising lead and congressional profile. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with averages near 44-47 percent and individual surveys alternating narrow leads. Democrats have launched attacks on Hinson’s record regarding tariffs, healthcare costs, and personal finances, while Hinson emphasizes cost-of-living issues and secured endorsements including from Trump. The November 3 general election remains sensitive to turnout among independents and suburban voters.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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