The open Iowa Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in a competitive November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 56.5% for Hinson reflects Iowa’s Republican tilt in recent presidential voting, Hinson’s strong primary performance with Trump endorsement and party backing, and her fundraising lead over Turek. Recent polling aggregates show narrow margins in both directions, with some surveys indicating Turek ahead and others favoring Hinson by a few points, underscoring the race’s sensitivity to turnout and national conditions. An October 7 debate on Iowa PBS offers the next major opportunity for voters to assess the candidates ahead of Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIowa Senate Election Winner
Iowa Senate Election Winner
$321,646 KL.
$321,646 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
56%
Josh Turek (D)
44%
$321,646 KL.
$321,646 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$164,736 KL.
56%
Josh Turek (D)
$156,910 KL.
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Iowa Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in a competitive November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 56.5% for Hinson reflects Iowa’s Republican tilt in recent presidential voting, Hinson’s strong primary performance with Trump endorsement and party backing, and her fundraising lead over Turek. Recent polling aggregates show narrow margins in both directions, with some surveys indicating Turek ahead and others favoring Hinson by a few points, underscoring the race’s sensitivity to turnout and national conditions. An October 7 debate on Iowa PBS offers the next major opportunity for voters to assess the candidates ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$321,646Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Iowa Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in a competitive November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 56.5% for Hinson reflects Iowa’s Republican tilt in recent presidential voting, Hinson’s strong primary performance with Trump endorsement and party backing, and her fundraising lead over Turek. Recent polling aggregates show narrow margins in both directions, with some surveys indicating Turek ahead and others favoring Hinson by a few points, underscoring the race’s sensitivity to turnout and national conditions. An October 7 debate on Iowa PBS offers the next major opportunity for voters to assess the candidates ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$321,646Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...The open Iowa Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in a competitive November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 56.5% for Hinson reflects Iowa’s Republican tilt in recent presidential voting, Hinson’s strong primary performance with Trump endorsement and party backing, and her fundraising lead over Turek. Recent polling aggregates show narrow margins in both directions, with some surveys indicating Turek ahead and others favoring Hinson by a few points, underscoring the race’s sensitivity to turnout and national conditions. An October 7 debate on Iowa PBS offers the next major opportunity for voters to assess the candidates ahead of Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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