With Sen. Joni Ernst's retirement creating an open seat, recent GBAO polling from March shows likely Republican nominee Rep. Ashley Hinson leading Democratic contenders Josh Turek (47%-43%) and Zach Wahls (47%-44%), fueling trader consensus for a Republican win at 59.5%. Hinson's dominant Q1 2026 fundraising—$2.36 million raised and over $6.5 million cash on hand—bolsters her edge over weaker GOP primary rival Jim Carlin, per April 17 reports. Iowa's Republican lean, including Trump's past victories, sustains the advantage despite a competitive Democratic primary ahead of June 2, where Wahls leads early surveys. Ratings from Cook Political (Solid Republican) align with prediction market pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIowa Senate Election Winner
Iowa Senate Election Winner
$105,128 KL.
$105,128 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
60%
Democrat
40%
$105,128 KL.
$105,128 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$48,818 KL.
60%
Democrat
$56,310 KL.
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.With Sen. Joni Ernst's retirement creating an open seat, recent GBAO polling from March shows likely Republican nominee Rep. Ashley Hinson leading Democratic contenders Josh Turek (47%-43%) and Zach Wahls (47%-44%), fueling trader consensus for a Republican win at 59.5%. Hinson's dominant Q1 2026 fundraising—$2.36 million raised and over $6.5 million cash on hand—bolsters her edge over weaker GOP primary rival Jim Carlin, per April 17 reports. Iowa's Republican lean, including Trump's past victories, sustains the advantage despite a competitive Democratic primary ahead of June 2, where Wahls leads early surveys. Ratings from Cook Political (Solid Republican) align with prediction market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$105,128Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.With Sen. Joni Ernst's retirement creating an open seat, recent GBAO polling from March shows likely Republican nominee Rep. Ashley Hinson leading Democratic contenders Josh Turek (47%-43%) and Zach Wahls (47%-44%), fueling trader consensus for a Republican win at 59.5%. Hinson's dominant Q1 2026 fundraising—$2.36 million raised and over $6.5 million cash on hand—bolsters her edge over weaker GOP primary rival Jim Carlin, per April 17 reports. Iowa's Republican lean, including Trump's past victories, sustains the advantage despite a competitive Democratic primary ahead of June 2, where Wahls leads early surveys. Ratings from Cook Political (Solid Republican) align with prediction market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$105,128Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Sen. Joni Ernst's retirement creating an open seat, recent GBAO polling from March shows likely Republican nominee Rep. Ashley Hinson leading Democratic contenders Josh Turek (47%-43%) and Zach Wahls (47%-44%), fueling trader consensus for a Republican win at 59.5%. Hinson's dominant Q1 2026 fundraising—$2.36 million raised and over $6.5 million cash on hand—bolsters her edge over weaker GOP primary rival Jim Carlin, per April 17 reports. Iowa's Republican lean, including Trump's past victories, sustains the advantage despite a competitive Democratic primary ahead of June 2, where Wahls leads early surveys. Ratings from Cook Political (Solid Republican) align with prediction market pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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