Iowa's Republican-leaning electorate and the retirement of incumbent Senator Joni Ernst frame the 2026 general election contest between Republican nominee Ashley Hinson and Democratic nominee Josh Turek, scheduled for November 3. Hinson secured her party's nomination in the June 2 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote after an endorsement from President Trump and strong support from state and national Republican leaders, giving her advantages in name recognition and fundraising as a sitting U.S. representative. Turek advanced with about 63 percent in a competitive Democratic primary focused on electability. Early July polls showed mixed results, with one indicating a narrow Turek lead and another a slight Hinson edge, while nonpartisan ratings classify the race as leaning Republican. These factors underpin the current trader consensus assigning Hinson the higher probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIowa Senate Election Winner
Iowa Senate Election Winner
$164,303 KL.
$164,303 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
56%
Josh Turek (D)
44%
$164,303 KL.
$164,303 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$79,836 KL.
56%
Josh Turek (D)
$84,467 KL.
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's Republican-leaning electorate and the retirement of incumbent Senator Joni Ernst frame the 2026 general election contest between Republican nominee Ashley Hinson and Democratic nominee Josh Turek, scheduled for November 3. Hinson secured her party's nomination in the June 2 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote after an endorsement from President Trump and strong support from state and national Republican leaders, giving her advantages in name recognition and fundraising as a sitting U.S. representative. Turek advanced with about 63 percent in a competitive Democratic primary focused on electability. Early July polls showed mixed results, with one indicating a narrow Turek lead and another a slight Hinson edge, while nonpartisan ratings classify the race as leaning Republican. These factors underpin the current trader consensus assigning Hinson the higher probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$164,303Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's Republican-leaning electorate and the retirement of incumbent Senator Joni Ernst frame the 2026 general election contest between Republican nominee Ashley Hinson and Democratic nominee Josh Turek, scheduled for November 3. Hinson secured her party's nomination in the June 2 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote after an endorsement from President Trump and strong support from state and national Republican leaders, giving her advantages in name recognition and fundraising as a sitting U.S. representative. Turek advanced with about 63 percent in a competitive Democratic primary focused on electability. Early July polls showed mixed results, with one indicating a narrow Turek lead and another a slight Hinson edge, while nonpartisan ratings classify the race as leaning Republican. These factors underpin the current trader consensus assigning Hinson the higher probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$164,303Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's Republican-leaning electorate and the retirement of incumbent Senator Joni Ernst frame the 2026 general election contest between Republican nominee Ashley Hinson and Democratic nominee Josh Turek, scheduled for November 3. Hinson secured her party's nomination in the June 2 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote after an endorsement from President Trump and strong support from state and national Republican leaders, giving her advantages in name recognition and fundraising as a sitting U.S. representative. Turek advanced with about 63 percent in a competitive Democratic primary focused on electability. Early July polls showed mixed results, with one indicating a narrow Turek lead and another a slight Hinson edge, while nonpartisan ratings classify the race as leaning Republican. These factors underpin the current trader consensus assigning Hinson the higher probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp