Iowa's open Senate seat, created by Joni Ernst's retirement, favors Republicans due to the state's partisan voting index and recent presidential margins. Ashley Hinson secured the GOP nomination on June 2 with a decisive primary victory and President Trump's endorsement, reinforcing trader expectations for a hold reflected in the 60% Republican consensus. On the Democratic side, Josh Turek's nomination after defeating Zach Wahls introduces a competitive profile through his legislative record and Paralympian background, supported by a June 3-4 poll showing a 46-46 tie. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, with structural advantages limiting Democratic prospects absent significant shifts before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIowa Senate Election Winner
Iowa Senate Election Winner
$121,526 KL.
$121,526 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
60%
Democrat
41%
$121,526 KL.
$121,526 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$56,485 KL.
60%
Democrat
$65,041 KL.
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open Senate seat, created by Joni Ernst's retirement, favors Republicans due to the state's partisan voting index and recent presidential margins. Ashley Hinson secured the GOP nomination on June 2 with a decisive primary victory and President Trump's endorsement, reinforcing trader expectations for a hold reflected in the 60% Republican consensus. On the Democratic side, Josh Turek's nomination after defeating Zach Wahls introduces a competitive profile through his legislative record and Paralympian background, supported by a June 3-4 poll showing a 46-46 tie. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, with structural advantages limiting Democratic prospects absent significant shifts before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$121,526Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open Senate seat, created by Joni Ernst's retirement, favors Republicans due to the state's partisan voting index and recent presidential margins. Ashley Hinson secured the GOP nomination on June 2 with a decisive primary victory and President Trump's endorsement, reinforcing trader expectations for a hold reflected in the 60% Republican consensus. On the Democratic side, Josh Turek's nomination after defeating Zach Wahls introduces a competitive profile through his legislative record and Paralympian background, supported by a June 3-4 poll showing a 46-46 tie. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, with structural advantages limiting Democratic prospects absent significant shifts before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$121,526Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's open Senate seat, created by Joni Ernst's retirement, favors Republicans due to the state's partisan voting index and recent presidential margins. Ashley Hinson secured the GOP nomination on June 2 with a decisive primary victory and President Trump's endorsement, reinforcing trader expectations for a hold reflected in the 60% Republican consensus. On the Democratic side, Josh Turek's nomination after defeating Zach Wahls introduces a competitive profile through his legislative record and Paralympian background, supported by a June 3-4 poll showing a 46-46 tie. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, with structural advantages limiting Democratic prospects absent significant shifts before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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