The open seat in Iowa's 2nd Congressional District, vacated by Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid, has driven trader consensus to favor Democrats at 55.5% implied probability over Republicans at 37.5%, reflecting the district's battleground status encompassing Cedar Rapids and liberal-leaning Iowa City. Recent FEC filings released April 17 show Democratic primary contenders, including Clint Twedt-Ball, outraising rivals in key battlegrounds, signaling fundraising momentum. A Democratic rally outside Hinson's Cedar Rapids office that same day highlighted voter mobilization ahead of the June 2 primaries, where GOP frontrunner Joe Mitchell faces a crowded field. National midterm dynamics and historical close margins keep the race closely contested.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIA-02 House Election Winner
IA-02 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
56%
Republican Party
38%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$357 KL.
56%
Republican Party
$243 KL.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Iowa's 2nd Congressional District, vacated by Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid, has driven trader consensus to favor Democrats at 55.5% implied probability over Republicans at 37.5%, reflecting the district's battleground status encompassing Cedar Rapids and liberal-leaning Iowa City. Recent FEC filings released April 17 show Democratic primary contenders, including Clint Twedt-Ball, outraising rivals in key battlegrounds, signaling fundraising momentum. A Democratic rally outside Hinson's Cedar Rapids office that same day highlighted voter mobilization ahead of the June 2 primaries, where GOP frontrunner Joe Mitchell faces a crowded field. National midterm dynamics and historical close margins keep the race closely contested.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$600Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Iowa's 2nd Congressional District, vacated by Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid, has driven trader consensus to favor Democrats at 55.5% implied probability over Republicans at 37.5%, reflecting the district's battleground status encompassing Cedar Rapids and liberal-leaning Iowa City. Recent FEC filings released April 17 show Democratic primary contenders, including Clint Twedt-Ball, outraising rivals in key battlegrounds, signaling fundraising momentum. A Democratic rally outside Hinson's Cedar Rapids office that same day highlighted voter mobilization ahead of the June 2 primaries, where GOP frontrunner Joe Mitchell faces a crowded field. National midterm dynamics and historical close margins keep the race closely contested.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$600Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Iowa's 2nd Congressional District, vacated by Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid, has driven trader consensus to favor Democrats at 55.5% implied probability over Republicans at 37.5%, reflecting the district's battleground status encompassing Cedar Rapids and liberal-leaning Iowa City. Recent FEC filings released April 17 show Democratic primary contenders, including Clint Twedt-Ball, outraising rivals in key battlegrounds, signaling fundraising momentum. A Democratic rally outside Hinson's Cedar Rapids office that same day highlighted voter mobilization ahead of the June 2 primaries, where GOP frontrunner Joe Mitchell faces a crowded field. National midterm dynamics and historical close margins keep the race closely contested.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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