Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic victory in Michigan's open Senate race at 80%, reflecting recent polling trends favoring hypothetical Democratic nominees over Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers in this swing state battleground. The Emerson College poll released April 16 shows a fragmented Democratic primary with Mallory McMorrow and Abdul El-Sayed tied at 24% among likely voters, Haley Stevens at 13%, and 39% undecided, while Rogers commands 55% in the GOP primary ahead of the August 4 contests. January Emerson general election matchups had Stevens leading Rogers 47%-42% and McMorrow 46%-43%, sustaining trader optimism despite earlier ties and Rogers' 2024 near-miss, with national midterm dynamics and fundraising edges bolstering the implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$104,940 KL.
$104,940 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
80%
Republican
21%
$104,940 KL.
$104,940 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$78,671 KL.
80%
Republican
$26,269 KL.
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic victory in Michigan's open Senate race at 80%, reflecting recent polling trends favoring hypothetical Democratic nominees over Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers in this swing state battleground. The Emerson College poll released April 16 shows a fragmented Democratic primary with Mallory McMorrow and Abdul El-Sayed tied at 24% among likely voters, Haley Stevens at 13%, and 39% undecided, while Rogers commands 55% in the GOP primary ahead of the August 4 contests. January Emerson general election matchups had Stevens leading Rogers 47%-42% and McMorrow 46%-43%, sustaining trader optimism despite earlier ties and Rogers' 2024 near-miss, with national midterm dynamics and fundraising edges bolstering the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$104,940Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic victory in Michigan's open Senate race at 80%, reflecting recent polling trends favoring hypothetical Democratic nominees over Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers in this swing state battleground. The Emerson College poll released April 16 shows a fragmented Democratic primary with Mallory McMorrow and Abdul El-Sayed tied at 24% among likely voters, Haley Stevens at 13%, and 39% undecided, while Rogers commands 55% in the GOP primary ahead of the August 4 contests. January Emerson general election matchups had Stevens leading Rogers 47%-42% and McMorrow 46%-43%, sustaining trader optimism despite earlier ties and Rogers' 2024 near-miss, with national midterm dynamics and fundraising edges bolstering the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$104,940Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic victory in Michigan's open Senate race at 80%, reflecting recent polling trends favoring hypothetical Democratic nominees over Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers in this swing state battleground. The Emerson College poll released April 16 shows a fragmented Democratic primary with Mallory McMorrow and Abdul El-Sayed tied at 24% among likely voters, Haley Stevens at 13%, and 39% undecided, while Rogers commands 55% in the GOP primary ahead of the August 4 contests. January Emerson general election matchups had Stevens leading Rogers 47%-42% and McMorrow 46%-43%, sustaining trader optimism despite earlier ties and Rogers' 2024 near-miss, with national midterm dynamics and fundraising edges bolstering the implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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