The open Michigan Senate seat, following Gary Peters’s retirement, has produced a competitive general election rated a toss-up by Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Recent TIPP polling shows Democratic contenders such as Haley Stevens leading or staying within single digits of Republican Mike Rogers in head-to-head matchups, while the August 4 Democratic primary has seen Abdul El-Sayed build a clear lead. Traders assign Democrats a 69.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the party’s edge in a state that remains narrowly divided after Trump’s 2024 win, combined with Rogers’s prior narrow defeat and the strength of the eventual Democratic nominee. The 30-point gap leaves room for shifts from primary results or fall campaign dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$117,173 KL.
$117,173 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
70%
Republican
28%
$117,173 KL.
$117,173 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$83,215 KL.
70%
Republican
$33,958 KL.
28%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Michigan Senate seat, following Gary Peters’s retirement, has produced a competitive general election rated a toss-up by Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Recent TIPP polling shows Democratic contenders such as Haley Stevens leading or staying within single digits of Republican Mike Rogers in head-to-head matchups, while the August 4 Democratic primary has seen Abdul El-Sayed build a clear lead. Traders assign Democrats a 69.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the party’s edge in a state that remains narrowly divided after Trump’s 2024 win, combined with Rogers’s prior narrow defeat and the strength of the eventual Democratic nominee. The 30-point gap leaves room for shifts from primary results or fall campaign dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$117,173Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Michigan Senate seat, following Gary Peters’s retirement, has produced a competitive general election rated a toss-up by Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Recent TIPP polling shows Democratic contenders such as Haley Stevens leading or staying within single digits of Republican Mike Rogers in head-to-head matchups, while the August 4 Democratic primary has seen Abdul El-Sayed build a clear lead. Traders assign Democrats a 69.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the party’s edge in a state that remains narrowly divided after Trump’s 2024 win, combined with Rogers’s prior narrow defeat and the strength of the eventual Democratic nominee. The 30-point gap leaves room for shifts from primary results or fall campaign dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$117,173Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Michigan Senate seat, following Gary Peters’s retirement, has produced a competitive general election rated a toss-up by Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Recent TIPP polling shows Democratic contenders such as Haley Stevens leading or staying within single digits of Republican Mike Rogers in head-to-head matchups, while the August 4 Democratic primary has seen Abdul El-Sayed build a clear lead. Traders assign Democrats a 69.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the party’s edge in a state that remains narrowly divided after Trump’s 2024 win, combined with Rogers’s prior narrow defeat and the strength of the eventual Democratic nominee. The 30-point gap leaves room for shifts from primary results or fall campaign dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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