**Democratic candidates hold a clear edge in the 2026 Michigan Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, with trader consensus at 69.5% reflecting consistent polling leads in hypothetical general election matchups.** The August 4 Democratic primary features a competitive three-way contest among Rep. Haley Stevens, former health official Abdul El-Sayed, and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, while former Rep. Mike Rogers is the presumptive Republican nominee. Early June polls showed Democratic contenders ahead of Rogers by 1–7 points, underscoring Michigan’s status as a closely divided battleground where Democrats have maintained structural advantages in recent cycles despite the 2024 presidential result. Heavy outside spending and endorsements in the primary have not yet shifted the broader outlook, as the eventual Democratic nominee is viewed as competitive in the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$117,173 KL.
$117,173 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
70%
Republican
28%
$117,173 KL.
$117,173 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$83,215 KL.
70%
Republican
$33,958 KL.
28%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Democratic candidates hold a clear edge in the 2026 Michigan Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, with trader consensus at 69.5% reflecting consistent polling leads in hypothetical general election matchups.**
The August 4 Democratic primary features a competitive three-way contest among Rep. Haley Stevens, former health official Abdul El-Sayed, and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, while former Rep. Mike Rogers is the presumptive Republican nominee. Early June polls showed Democratic contenders ahead of Rogers by 1–7 points, underscoring Michigan’s status as a closely divided battleground where Democrats have maintained structural advantages in recent cycles despite the 2024 presidential result. Heavy outside spending and endorsements in the primary have not yet shifted the broader outlook, as the eventual Democratic nominee is viewed as competitive in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$117,173Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Democratic candidates hold a clear edge in the 2026 Michigan Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, with trader consensus at 69.5% reflecting consistent polling leads in hypothetical general election matchups.**
The August 4 Democratic primary features a competitive three-way contest among Rep. Haley Stevens, former health official Abdul El-Sayed, and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, while former Rep. Mike Rogers is the presumptive Republican nominee. Early June polls showed Democratic contenders ahead of Rogers by 1–7 points, underscoring Michigan’s status as a closely divided battleground where Democrats have maintained structural advantages in recent cycles despite the 2024 presidential result. Heavy outside spending and endorsements in the primary have not yet shifted the broader outlook, as the eventual Democratic nominee is viewed as competitive in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$117,173Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Democratic candidates hold a clear edge in the 2026 Michigan Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, with trader consensus at 69.5% reflecting consistent polling leads in hypothetical general election matchups.** The August 4 Democratic primary features a competitive three-way contest among Rep. Haley Stevens, former health official Abdul El-Sayed, and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, while former Rep. Mike Rogers is the presumptive Republican nominee. Early June polls showed Democratic contenders ahead of Rogers by 1–7 points, underscoring Michigan’s status as a closely divided battleground where Democrats have maintained structural advantages in recent cycles despite the 2024 presidential result. Heavy outside spending and endorsements in the primary have not yet shifted the broader outlook, as the eventual Democratic nominee is viewed as competitive in the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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