Recent polling averages show Democratic nominee Graham Platner holding a narrow lead or near-tie against Republican incumbent Susan Collins in general election matchups, with margins typically ranging from Platner +1 to +5 in surveys conducted since early June. The June 9 Democratic primary confirmed Platner’s nomination after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign, clearing the field for the oyster farmer and military veteran despite prior controversies. Collins, seeking a sixth term as the sole Republican senator from New England in a state carried by Democratic presidential candidates, faces a competitive environment driven by Maine’s partisan balance and ranked-choice voting dynamics. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at current implied probabilities, though the race remains sensitive to further shifts in voter sentiment ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMaine Senate Election Winner
Maine Senate Election Winner
$520,169 KL.
$520,169 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
67%
Republican
35%
$520,169 KL.
$520,169 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$310,661 KL.
67%
Republican
$209,508 KL.
35%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show Democratic nominee Graham Platner holding a narrow lead or near-tie against Republican incumbent Susan Collins in general election matchups, with margins typically ranging from Platner +1 to +5 in surveys conducted since early June. The June 9 Democratic primary confirmed Platner’s nomination after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign, clearing the field for the oyster farmer and military veteran despite prior controversies. Collins, seeking a sixth term as the sole Republican senator from New England in a state carried by Democratic presidential candidates, faces a competitive environment driven by Maine’s partisan balance and ranked-choice voting dynamics. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at current implied probabilities, though the race remains sensitive to further shifts in voter sentiment ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$520,169Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show Democratic nominee Graham Platner holding a narrow lead or near-tie against Republican incumbent Susan Collins in general election matchups, with margins typically ranging from Platner +1 to +5 in surveys conducted since early June. The June 9 Democratic primary confirmed Platner’s nomination after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign, clearing the field for the oyster farmer and military veteran despite prior controversies. Collins, seeking a sixth term as the sole Republican senator from New England in a state carried by Democratic presidential candidates, faces a competitive environment driven by Maine’s partisan balance and ranked-choice voting dynamics. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at current implied probabilities, though the race remains sensitive to further shifts in voter sentiment ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$520,169Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show Democratic nominee Graham Platner holding a narrow lead or near-tie against Republican incumbent Susan Collins in general election matchups, with margins typically ranging from Platner +1 to +5 in surveys conducted since early June. The June 9 Democratic primary confirmed Platner’s nomination after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign, clearing the field for the oyster farmer and military veteran despite prior controversies. Collins, seeking a sixth term as the sole Republican senator from New England in a state carried by Democratic presidential candidates, faces a competitive environment driven by Maine’s partisan balance and ranked-choice voting dynamics. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome at current implied probabilities, though the race remains sensitive to further shifts in voter sentiment ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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