Massachusetts's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for the party's Senate candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 contest. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a lead over primary challenger Seth Moulton in available surveys ahead of the September 1 Democratic primary, while general-election matchups against Republican John Deaton show the Democrat ahead by 16 to 25 points. The state's voter registration edge, urban concentration of Democratic support, and limited Republican infrastructure create substantial structural barriers for the opposing party. A narrow primary upset or unexpected late developments could still introduce volatility before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMassachusetts Senate Election Winner
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
$24,224 KL.
$24,224 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
96%
Republican
3%
$24,224 KL.
$24,224 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$18,798 KL.
96%
Republican
$5,426 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for the party's Senate candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 contest. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a lead over primary challenger Seth Moulton in available surveys ahead of the September 1 Democratic primary, while general-election matchups against Republican John Deaton show the Democrat ahead by 16 to 25 points. The state's voter registration edge, urban concentration of Democratic support, and limited Republican infrastructure create substantial structural barriers for the opposing party. A narrow primary upset or unexpected late developments could still introduce volatility before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$24,224Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for the party's Senate candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 contest. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a lead over primary challenger Seth Moulton in available surveys ahead of the September 1 Democratic primary, while general-election matchups against Republican John Deaton show the Democrat ahead by 16 to 25 points. The state's voter registration edge, urban concentration of Democratic support, and limited Republican infrastructure create substantial structural barriers for the opposing party. A narrow primary upset or unexpected late developments could still introduce volatility before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$24,224Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for the party's Senate candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 contest. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a lead over primary challenger Seth Moulton in available surveys ahead of the September 1 Democratic primary, while general-election matchups against Republican John Deaton show the Democrat ahead by 16 to 25 points. The state's voter registration edge, urban concentration of Democratic support, and limited Republican infrastructure create substantial structural barriers for the opposing party. A narrow primary upset or unexpected late developments could still introduce volatility before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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