Massachusetts's deep Democratic lean and Ed Markey's incumbency underpin the market's 96% consensus on a Democratic winner in the 2026 Senate race. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the state's recent voting patterns and Markey's established support. Recent polls show the incumbent holding double-digit leads over Republican John Deaton in general election matchups and ahead in the Democratic primary against Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest. Primary and general election dynamics, including turnout among core Democratic voters and limited Republican infrastructure, reinforce the current pricing. An upset would require major shifts such as an unexpected primary result, sustained polling erosion, or late national events altering the state environment before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMassachusetts Senate Election Winner
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
$24,223 KL.
$24,223 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
96%
Republican
3%
$24,223 KL.
$24,223 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$18,797 KL.
96%
Republican
$5,426 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's deep Democratic lean and Ed Markey's incumbency underpin the market's 96% consensus on a Democratic winner in the 2026 Senate race. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the state's recent voting patterns and Markey's established support. Recent polls show the incumbent holding double-digit leads over Republican John Deaton in general election matchups and ahead in the Democratic primary against Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest. Primary and general election dynamics, including turnout among core Democratic voters and limited Republican infrastructure, reinforce the current pricing. An upset would require major shifts such as an unexpected primary result, sustained polling erosion, or late national events altering the state environment before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$24,223Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's deep Democratic lean and Ed Markey's incumbency underpin the market's 96% consensus on a Democratic winner in the 2026 Senate race. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the state's recent voting patterns and Markey's established support. Recent polls show the incumbent holding double-digit leads over Republican John Deaton in general election matchups and ahead in the Democratic primary against Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest. Primary and general election dynamics, including turnout among core Democratic voters and limited Republican infrastructure, reinforce the current pricing. An upset would require major shifts such as an unexpected primary result, sustained polling erosion, or late national events altering the state environment before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$24,223Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's deep Democratic lean and Ed Markey's incumbency underpin the market's 96% consensus on a Democratic winner in the 2026 Senate race. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the state's recent voting patterns and Markey's established support. Recent polls show the incumbent holding double-digit leads over Republican John Deaton in general election matchups and ahead in the Democratic primary against Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest. Primary and general election dynamics, including turnout among core Democratic voters and limited Republican infrastructure, reinforce the current pricing. An upset would require major shifts such as an unexpected primary result, sustained polling erosion, or late national events altering the state environment before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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