Massachusetts remains a strongly Democratic state with a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits, supporting the 95.5% trader consensus on a Democratic Senate winner in 2026. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a consistent lead in primary polling against challenger Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest, bolstered by name recognition and long tenure since his 2013 election. Republican primary contenders such as John Deaton face structural barriers in a state where Democrats have dominated recent Senate races by wide margins. A late primary upset or unexpected turnout shift could alter the nominee, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited paths for Republican general election competitiveness.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMassachusetts Senate Election Winner
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
$13,192 KL.
$13,192 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
96%
Republican
4%
$13,192 KL.
$13,192 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$8,548 KL.
96%
Republican
$4,643 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts remains a strongly Democratic state with a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits, supporting the 95.5% trader consensus on a Democratic Senate winner in 2026. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a consistent lead in primary polling against challenger Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest, bolstered by name recognition and long tenure since his 2013 election. Republican primary contenders such as John Deaton face structural barriers in a state where Democrats have dominated recent Senate races by wide margins. A late primary upset or unexpected turnout shift could alter the nominee, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited paths for Republican general election competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$13,192Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts remains a strongly Democratic state with a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits, supporting the 95.5% trader consensus on a Democratic Senate winner in 2026. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a consistent lead in primary polling against challenger Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest, bolstered by name recognition and long tenure since his 2013 election. Republican primary contenders such as John Deaton face structural barriers in a state where Democrats have dominated recent Senate races by wide margins. A late primary upset or unexpected turnout shift could alter the nominee, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited paths for Republican general election competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$13,192Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts remains a strongly Democratic state with a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits, supporting the 95.5% trader consensus on a Democratic Senate winner in 2026. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a consistent lead in primary polling against challenger Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest, bolstered by name recognition and long tenure since his 2013 election. Republican primary contenders such as John Deaton face structural barriers in a state where Democrats have dominated recent Senate races by wide margins. A late primary upset or unexpected turnout shift could alter the nominee, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited paths for Republican general election competitiveness.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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