Recent polling averages and candidate recruitment show the four races—Georgia defending Jon Ossoff, Michigan’s open seat, North Carolina’s open Republican seat, and Maine challenging Susan Collins—remain tightly contested battlegrounds. Democrats must sweep all four for meaningful net gains toward a Senate majority on a map that otherwise favors Republicans, creating even trader odds around 50 percent. Narrow margins in swing-state surveys, combined with early primary outcomes and fundraising parity, sustain the balance, while uncertainties around turnout, late-campaign developments, and any shifts in the national political environment could tip probabilities in either direction before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
51% khả năng
$20,164 KL.
$20,164 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
51% khả năng
$20,164 KL.
$20,164 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Recent polling averages and candidate recruitment show the four races—Georgia defending Jon Ossoff, Michigan’s open seat, North Carolina’s open Republican seat, and Maine challenging Susan Collins—remain tightly contested battlegrounds. Democrats must sweep all four for meaningful net gains toward a Senate majority on a map that otherwise favors Republicans, creating even trader odds around 50 percent. Narrow margins in swing-state surveys, combined with early primary outcomes and fundraising parity, sustain the balance, while uncertainties around turnout, late-campaign developments, and any shifts in the national political environment could tip probabilities in either direction before November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,164Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Recent polling averages and candidate recruitment show the four races—Georgia defending Jon Ossoff, Michigan’s open seat, North Carolina’s open Republican seat, and Maine challenging Susan Collins—remain tightly contested battlegrounds. Democrats must sweep all four for meaningful net gains toward a Senate majority on a map that otherwise favors Republicans, creating even trader odds around 50 percent. Narrow margins in swing-state surveys, combined with early primary outcomes and fundraising parity, sustain the balance, while uncertainties around turnout, late-campaign developments, and any shifts in the national political environment could tip probabilities in either direction before November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Khối lượng
$20,164Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling averages and candidate recruitment show the four races—Georgia defending Jon Ossoff, Michigan’s open seat, North Carolina’s open Republican seat, and Maine challenging Susan Collins—remain tightly contested battlegrounds. Democrats must sweep all four for meaningful net gains toward a Senate majority on a map that otherwise favors Republicans, creating even trader odds around 50 percent. Narrow margins in swing-state surveys, combined with early primary outcomes and fundraising parity, sustain the balance, while uncertainties around turnout, late-campaign developments, and any shifts in the national political environment could tip probabilities in either direction before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp