Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican Kansas seat, where the party has held both U.S. Senate positions for decades and last elected a Democrat in 1932. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the state’s partisan voting index and Marshall’s 2020 margin. Early 2026 polling shows Marshall ahead of leading Democratic primary contenders by 4–10 points, though head-to-head matchups remain limited and one survey found a slight Democratic edge. The August 4 Republican primary features a minor challenge, while the Democratic field is crowded with nine candidates. These structural factors and limited recent shifts underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome in November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKansas Senate Election Winner
Kansas Senate Election Winner
$30,219 KL.
$30,219 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
81%
Democrat
19%
$30,219 KL.
$30,219 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$18,634 KL.
81%
Democrat
$11,585 KL.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican Kansas seat, where the party has held both U.S. Senate positions for decades and last elected a Democrat in 1932. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the state’s partisan voting index and Marshall’s 2020 margin. Early 2026 polling shows Marshall ahead of leading Democratic primary contenders by 4–10 points, though head-to-head matchups remain limited and one survey found a slight Democratic edge. The August 4 Republican primary features a minor challenge, while the Democratic field is crowded with nine candidates. These structural factors and limited recent shifts underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome in November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$30,219Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican Kansas seat, where the party has held both U.S. Senate positions for decades and last elected a Democrat in 1932. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the state’s partisan voting index and Marshall’s 2020 margin. Early 2026 polling shows Marshall ahead of leading Democratic primary contenders by 4–10 points, though head-to-head matchups remain limited and one survey found a slight Democratic edge. The August 4 Republican primary features a minor challenge, while the Democratic field is crowded with nine candidates. These structural factors and limited recent shifts underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome in November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$30,219Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall seeks a second term in the solidly Republican Kansas seat, where the party has held both U.S. Senate positions for decades and last elected a Democrat in 1932. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the state’s partisan voting index and Marshall’s 2020 margin. Early 2026 polling shows Marshall ahead of leading Democratic primary contenders by 4–10 points, though head-to-head matchups remain limited and one survey found a slight Democratic edge. The August 4 Republican primary features a minor challenge, while the Democratic field is crowded with nine candidates. These structural factors and limited recent shifts underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome in November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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