Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall faces limited opposition in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election with strong positioning in a state that leans heavily Republican. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting Kansas's partisan voting index and Marshall's 2020 performance. Available polling shows the incumbent ahead of Democratic primary contenders by margins of four to ten points, though sample sizes remain small and early. With no high-profile Democratic challengers emerging and primaries still months away, trader consensus assigns an 80 percent implied probability to a Republican victory, consistent with historical patterns for Senate seats in similar states.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKansas Senate Election Winner
Kansas Senate Election Winner
$30,219 KL.
$30,219 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
80%
Democrat
19%
$30,219 KL.
$30,219 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$18,634 KL.
80%
Democrat
$11,585 KL.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall faces limited opposition in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election with strong positioning in a state that leans heavily Republican. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting Kansas's partisan voting index and Marshall's 2020 performance. Available polling shows the incumbent ahead of Democratic primary contenders by margins of four to ten points, though sample sizes remain small and early. With no high-profile Democratic challengers emerging and primaries still months away, trader consensus assigns an 80 percent implied probability to a Republican victory, consistent with historical patterns for Senate seats in similar states.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$30,219Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall faces limited opposition in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election with strong positioning in a state that leans heavily Republican. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting Kansas's partisan voting index and Marshall's 2020 performance. Available polling shows the incumbent ahead of Democratic primary contenders by margins of four to ten points, though sample sizes remain small and early. With no high-profile Democratic challengers emerging and primaries still months away, trader consensus assigns an 80 percent implied probability to a Republican victory, consistent with historical patterns for Senate seats in similar states.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$30,219Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall faces limited opposition in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election with strong positioning in a state that leans heavily Republican. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, reflecting Kansas's partisan voting index and Marshall's 2020 performance. Available polling shows the incumbent ahead of Democratic primary contenders by margins of four to ten points, though sample sizes remain small and early. With no high-profile Democratic challengers emerging and primaries still months away, trader consensus assigns an 80 percent implied probability to a Republican victory, consistent with historical patterns for Senate seats in similar states.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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