The contest for third place in Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections centers on the Istiqlal Party’s (PI) standing relative to the larger RNI and PAM within the outgoing coalition. Traders assign PI the highest implied probability for finishing third, reflecting its 2021 seat total of 81 and recent candidate lists that include sitting ministers, while RNI and PAM hold lower odds for that specific ranking given their stronger recent positioning. PAM’s detailed platform on jobs and purchasing power, RNI’s leadership transition, and ongoing voter concerns over services and costs have kept the top three parties tightly bunched in preparations, with smaller formations such as the PJD and USFP showing limited momentum in candidate filings and regional outreach. Late campaign developments on turnout or local mobilization could still shift final seat order.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPI 57%
RNI 21%
PJD 12.8%
PAM 4.0%
$40,735 KL.
$40,735 KL.
Sep 23, 2026
PI
57%
RNI
21%
PJD
8%
PAM
4%
USFP
<1%
UC
<1%
MP
<1%
PPS
<1%
PI 57%
RNI 21%
PJD 12.8%
PAM 4.0%
$40,735 KL.
$40,735 KL.
Sep 23, 2026
PI
$19,903 KL.
57%
RNI
$15,817 KL.
21%
PJD
$1,072 KL.
8%
PAM
$1,385 KL.
4%
USFP
$916 KL.
<1%
UC
$536 KL.
<1%
MP
$568 KL.
<1%
PPS
$537 KL.
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The contest for third place in Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections centers on the Istiqlal Party’s (PI) standing relative to the larger RNI and PAM within the outgoing coalition. Traders assign PI the highest implied probability for finishing third, reflecting its 2021 seat total of 81 and recent candidate lists that include sitting ministers, while RNI and PAM hold lower odds for that specific ranking given their stronger recent positioning. PAM’s detailed platform on jobs and purchasing power, RNI’s leadership transition, and ongoing voter concerns over services and costs have kept the top three parties tightly bunched in preparations, with smaller formations such as the PJD and USFP showing limited momentum in candidate filings and regional outreach. Late campaign developments on turnout or local mobilization could still shift final seat order.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Thị trường mở: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Khối lượng
$40,735Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The contest for third place in Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections centers on the Istiqlal Party’s (PI) standing relative to the larger RNI and PAM within the outgoing coalition. Traders assign PI the highest implied probability for finishing third, reflecting its 2021 seat total of 81 and recent candidate lists that include sitting ministers, while RNI and PAM hold lower odds for that specific ranking given their stronger recent positioning. PAM’s detailed platform on jobs and purchasing power, RNI’s leadership transition, and ongoing voter concerns over services and costs have kept the top three parties tightly bunched in preparations, with smaller formations such as the PJD and USFP showing limited momentum in candidate filings and regional outreach. Late campaign developments on turnout or local mobilization could still shift final seat order.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Khối lượng
$40,735Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The contest for third place in Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections centers on the Istiqlal Party’s (PI) standing relative to the larger RNI and PAM within the outgoing coalition. Traders assign PI the highest implied probability for finishing third, reflecting its 2021 seat total of 81 and recent candidate lists that include sitting ministers, while RNI and PAM hold lower odds for that specific ranking given their stronger recent positioning. PAM’s detailed platform on jobs and purchasing power, RNI’s leadership transition, and ongoing voter concerns over services and costs have kept the top three parties tightly bunched in preparations, with smaller formations such as the PJD and USFP showing limited momentum in candidate filings and regional outreach. Late campaign developments on turnout or local mobilization could still shift final seat order.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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