Recent polling averages position the Social Democrats first and Sweden Democrats second, leaving the Moderate Party as the consistent third-place contender ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election. Multiple surveys from July show the Moderates holding steady near 17 percent, ahead of the Greens, Left, Centre, and Christian Democrats clustered lower. This positioning reflects limited recent movement in voter intentions, with the governing Tidö bloc under pressure and the opposition bloc maintaining an overall lead. Traders assign the Moderate Party the highest probability for third place because no major catalyst has emerged to reorder the top three before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 81%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 17%
Green Party (MP) 1.5%
Liberals (L) <1%
$22,868 KL.
$22,868 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
17%
Moderate Party (M)
81%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
2%
Liberals (L)
1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 81%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 17%
Green Party (MP) 1.5%
Liberals (L) <1%
$22,868 KL.
$22,868 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$1,318 KL.
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$3,706 KL.
17%
Moderate Party (M)
$9,061 KL.
81%
Centre Party (C)
$1,397 KL.
<1%
Left Party (V)
$1,210 KL.
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$1,192 KL.
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$2,061 KL.
2%
Liberals (L)
$1,423 KL.
1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$1,499 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages position the Social Democrats first and Sweden Democrats second, leaving the Moderate Party as the consistent third-place contender ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election. Multiple surveys from July show the Moderates holding steady near 17 percent, ahead of the Greens, Left, Centre, and Christian Democrats clustered lower. This positioning reflects limited recent movement in voter intentions, with the governing Tidö bloc under pressure and the opposition bloc maintaining an overall lead. Traders assign the Moderate Party the highest probability for third place because no major catalyst has emerged to reorder the top three before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Thị trường mở: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Khối lượng
$22,868Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages position the Social Democrats first and Sweden Democrats second, leaving the Moderate Party as the consistent third-place contender ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election. Multiple surveys from July show the Moderates holding steady near 17 percent, ahead of the Greens, Left, Centre, and Christian Democrats clustered lower. This positioning reflects limited recent movement in voter intentions, with the governing Tidö bloc under pressure and the opposition bloc maintaining an overall lead. Traders assign the Moderate Party the highest probability for third place because no major catalyst has emerged to reorder the top three before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Khối lượng
$22,868Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages position the Social Democrats first and Sweden Democrats second, leaving the Moderate Party as the consistent third-place contender ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election. Multiple surveys from July show the Moderates holding steady near 17 percent, ahead of the Greens, Left, Centre, and Christian Democrats clustered lower. This positioning reflects limited recent movement in voter intentions, with the governing Tidö bloc under pressure and the opposition bloc maintaining an overall lead. Traders assign the Moderate Party the highest probability for third place because no major catalyst has emerged to reorder the top three before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
82%
Liệu Đảng Dân chủ Xã hội Thụy Điển (S) có giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử quốc hội Thụy Điển năm 2026 không?
98%
Có
Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?
12%
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