Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke narrowly ahead of the CDU at roughly 20–22 percent, with the AfD third near 18 percent and the SPD and Greens further back. This positioning has produced a tight contest between the two leading parties, reflected in the elevated probabilities traders assign to Die Linke securing the largest share by a slim margin. The incumbent CDU–SPD coalition lacks a clear path to renewed majority support, while Die Linke has consolidated gains among left-leaning voters in the capital. With only days remaining, final turnout patterns and late shifts among undecided voters remain the principal variables that could alter the narrow gap between first and second place.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLinke 0-2% 41%
Linke 2-5% 24%
CDU 0-2% 17%
CDU 2-5% 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
Linke 0-2%
41%
Linke 2-5%
24%
Linke 5-10%
1%
Linke 10%+
4%
CDU 0-2%
17%
CDU 2-5%
13%
CDU 5-10%
5%
CDU 10%+
<1%
AfD 0-2%
4%
AfD 2-5%
2%
AfD 5%+
2%
Another party wins
<1%
Linke 0-2% 41%
Linke 2-5% 24%
CDU 0-2% 17%
CDU 2-5% 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
Linke 0-2%
$421 KL.
41%
Linke 2-5%
$488 KL.
24%
Linke 5-10%
$199 KL.
1%
Linke 10%+
$141 KL.
4%
CDU 0-2%
$57 KL.
17%
CDU 2-5%
$67 KL.
13%
CDU 5-10%
$339 KL.
5%
CDU 10%+
$91 KL.
<1%
AfD 0-2%
$267 KL.
4%
AfD 2-5%
$46 KL.
2%
AfD 5%+
$46 KL.
2%
Another party wins
$110 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke narrowly ahead of the CDU at roughly 20–22 percent, with the AfD third near 18 percent and the SPD and Greens further back. This positioning has produced a tight contest between the two leading parties, reflected in the elevated probabilities traders assign to Die Linke securing the largest share by a slim margin. The incumbent CDU–SPD coalition lacks a clear path to renewed majority support, while Die Linke has consolidated gains among left-leaning voters in the capital. With only days remaining, final turnout patterns and late shifts among undecided voters remain the principal variables that could alter the narrow gap between first and second place.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,271Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 10:21 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke narrowly ahead of the CDU at roughly 20–22 percent, with the AfD third near 18 percent and the SPD and Greens further back. This positioning has produced a tight contest between the two leading parties, reflected in the elevated probabilities traders assign to Die Linke securing the largest share by a slim margin. The incumbent CDU–SPD coalition lacks a clear path to renewed majority support, while Die Linke has consolidated gains among left-leaning voters in the capital. With only days remaining, final turnout patterns and late shifts among undecided voters remain the principal variables that could alter the narrow gap between first and second place.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in the specified election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by the first-place and second-place parties. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid second votes each of the top two parties receives by the total number of valid second votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties will not count.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If a party other than Linke, CDU, or AfD receives the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
If two or more parties tie for the most valid second votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Another party wins".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Khối lượng
$2,271Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 10:21 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke narrowly ahead of the CDU at roughly 20–22 percent, with the AfD third near 18 percent and the SPD and Greens further back. This positioning has produced a tight contest between the two leading parties, reflected in the elevated probabilities traders assign to Die Linke securing the largest share by a slim margin. The incumbent CDU–SPD coalition lacks a clear path to renewed majority support, while Die Linke has consolidated gains among left-leaning voters in the capital. With only days remaining, final turnout patterns and late shifts among undecided voters remain the principal variables that could alter the narrow gap between first and second place.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp