James Talarico and Ken Paxton remain locked in a toss-up contest for the open Texas U.S. Senate seat, with recent polls showing the Democrat holding a narrow edge or statistical tie among likely voters. Talarico’s record fundraising—exceeding $68 million through June compared with roughly $9 million for Paxton—has fueled extensive advertising and outreach, particularly among Hispanic voters and independents where he shows consistent strength. Paxton consolidated Republican support after defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff, yet the race’s competitiveness stems from Texas’s shifting electorate, Paxton’s lower favorability with moderates, and midterm dynamics that typically favor the opposition party. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, and late-cycle developments such as additional polling, candidate debates, or turnout mobilization could widen the gap before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$982,699 KL.
$982,699 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
James Talarico (D)
51%
Ken Paxton (R)
49%
$982,699 KL.
$982,699 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
James Talarico (D)
$448,170 KL.
51%
Ken Paxton (R)
$534,529 KL.
49%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.James Talarico and Ken Paxton remain locked in a toss-up contest for the open Texas U.S. Senate seat, with recent polls showing the Democrat holding a narrow edge or statistical tie among likely voters. Talarico’s record fundraising—exceeding $68 million through June compared with roughly $9 million for Paxton—has fueled extensive advertising and outreach, particularly among Hispanic voters and independents where he shows consistent strength. Paxton consolidated Republican support after defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff, yet the race’s competitiveness stems from Texas’s shifting electorate, Paxton’s lower favorability with moderates, and midterm dynamics that typically favor the opposition party. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, and late-cycle developments such as additional polling, candidate debates, or turnout mobilization could widen the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$982,699Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.James Talarico and Ken Paxton remain locked in a toss-up contest for the open Texas U.S. Senate seat, with recent polls showing the Democrat holding a narrow edge or statistical tie among likely voters. Talarico’s record fundraising—exceeding $68 million through June compared with roughly $9 million for Paxton—has fueled extensive advertising and outreach, particularly among Hispanic voters and independents where he shows consistent strength. Paxton consolidated Republican support after defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff, yet the race’s competitiveness stems from Texas’s shifting electorate, Paxton’s lower favorability with moderates, and midterm dynamics that typically favor the opposition party. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, and late-cycle developments such as additional polling, candidate debates, or turnout mobilization could widen the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$982,699Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...James Talarico and Ken Paxton remain locked in a toss-up contest for the open Texas U.S. Senate seat, with recent polls showing the Democrat holding a narrow edge or statistical tie among likely voters. Talarico’s record fundraising—exceeding $68 million through June compared with roughly $9 million for Paxton—has fueled extensive advertising and outreach, particularly among Hispanic voters and independents where he shows consistent strength. Paxton consolidated Republican support after defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff, yet the race’s competitiveness stems from Texas’s shifting electorate, Paxton’s lower favorability with moderates, and midterm dynamics that typically favor the opposition party. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, and late-cycle developments such as additional polling, candidate debates, or turnout mobilization could widen the gap before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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