Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the Republican primary runoff on May 26 after neither secured a March 3 primary majority, with recent polls showing Paxton leading narrowly—48% to 40% in a Texas Public Opinion Research survey (April 6-7) and 44%-43% for Cornyn in a Peak poll (April 9)—reflecting base enthusiasm for Paxton's Trump-aligned profile amid the senator's perceived moderation. State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination by defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March primary. Trader consensus prices a Republican general election win at 56.5% versus 42.5% Democrat, driven by Texas' consistent Republican Senate dominance, incumbency edge if Cornyn prevails, and structural advantages like higher GOP turnout in midterms, despite Paxton's potential general election vulnerabilities and early Democratic fundraising momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$177,002 KL.
$177,002 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
56%
Democrat
43%
$177,002 KL.
$177,002 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$94,114 KL.
56%
Democrat
$82,888 KL.
43%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the Republican primary runoff on May 26 after neither secured a March 3 primary majority, with recent polls showing Paxton leading narrowly—48% to 40% in a Texas Public Opinion Research survey (April 6-7) and 44%-43% for Cornyn in a Peak poll (April 9)—reflecting base enthusiasm for Paxton's Trump-aligned profile amid the senator's perceived moderation. State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination by defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March primary. Trader consensus prices a Republican general election win at 56.5% versus 42.5% Democrat, driven by Texas' consistent Republican Senate dominance, incumbency edge if Cornyn prevails, and structural advantages like higher GOP turnout in midterms, despite Paxton's potential general election vulnerabilities and early Democratic fundraising momentum.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$177,002Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the Republican primary runoff on May 26 after neither secured a March 3 primary majority, with recent polls showing Paxton leading narrowly—48% to 40% in a Texas Public Opinion Research survey (April 6-7) and 44%-43% for Cornyn in a Peak poll (April 9)—reflecting base enthusiasm for Paxton's Trump-aligned profile amid the senator's perceived moderation. State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination by defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March primary. Trader consensus prices a Republican general election win at 56.5% versus 42.5% Democrat, driven by Texas' consistent Republican Senate dominance, incumbency edge if Cornyn prevails, and structural advantages like higher GOP turnout in midterms, despite Paxton's potential general election vulnerabilities and early Democratic fundraising momentum.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$177,002Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the Republican primary runoff on May 26 after neither secured a March 3 primary majority, with recent polls showing Paxton leading narrowly—48% to 40% in a Texas Public Opinion Research survey (April 6-7) and 44%-43% for Cornyn in a Peak poll (April 9)—reflecting base enthusiasm for Paxton's Trump-aligned profile amid the senator's perceived moderation. State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination by defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the March primary. Trader consensus prices a Republican general election win at 56.5% versus 42.5% Democrat, driven by Texas' consistent Republican Senate dominance, incumbency edge if Cornyn prevails, and structural advantages like higher GOP turnout in midterms, despite Paxton's potential general election vulnerabilities and early Democratic fundraising momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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