Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the May 26 primary runoff, bolstered by a late endorsement from President Trump, which consolidated conservative support in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate races for decades. This primary victory and Texas's consistent Republican lean underpin trader consensus favoring Paxton at 60.5 percent, even as lingering divisions among Cornyn backers and Paxton's past impeachment and personal controversies create openings for Democrat James Talarico. Talarico, who won his party's primary and has raised significantly more funds, has centered his general election campaign on those issues while emphasizing economic concerns, contributing to his 40.5 percent implied probability amid polls showing a competitive contest ahead of the November 3 vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$448,104 KL.
$448,104 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Ken Paxton (R)
61%
James Talarico (D)
41%
$448,104 KL.
$448,104 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Ken Paxton (R)
$259,365 KL.
61%
James Talarico (D)
$188,739 KL.
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the May 26 primary runoff, bolstered by a late endorsement from President Trump, which consolidated conservative support in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate races for decades. This primary victory and Texas's consistent Republican lean underpin trader consensus favoring Paxton at 60.5 percent, even as lingering divisions among Cornyn backers and Paxton's past impeachment and personal controversies create openings for Democrat James Talarico. Talarico, who won his party's primary and has raised significantly more funds, has centered his general election campaign on those issues while emphasizing economic concerns, contributing to his 40.5 percent implied probability amid polls showing a competitive contest ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$448,104Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the May 26 primary runoff, bolstered by a late endorsement from President Trump, which consolidated conservative support in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate races for decades. This primary victory and Texas's consistent Republican lean underpin trader consensus favoring Paxton at 60.5 percent, even as lingering divisions among Cornyn backers and Paxton's past impeachment and personal controversies create openings for Democrat James Talarico. Talarico, who won his party's primary and has raised significantly more funds, has centered his general election campaign on those issues while emphasizing economic concerns, contributing to his 40.5 percent implied probability amid polls showing a competitive contest ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$448,104Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the May 26 primary runoff, bolstered by a late endorsement from President Trump, which consolidated conservative support in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate races for decades. This primary victory and Texas's consistent Republican lean underpin trader consensus favoring Paxton at 60.5 percent, even as lingering divisions among Cornyn backers and Paxton's past impeachment and personal controversies create openings for Democrat James Talarico. Talarico, who won his party's primary and has raised significantly more funds, has centered his general election campaign on those issues while emphasizing economic concerns, contributing to his 40.5 percent implied probability amid polls showing a competitive contest ahead of the November 3 vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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