Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February retirement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 92% due to early general election polls showing Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig leading GOP frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 4-7 points, strong Democratic fundraising led by Craig's $4.8 million cash-on-hand, and the state's partisan lean—no Republican Senate win since 2002 amid Trump's 2024 four-point loss. Recent GOP strategist comments prefer facing progressive Flanagan over centrist Craig amid a $9 billion state fraud scandal, but primary polls favor Flanagan decisively. Scenarios challenging this include a bruising August 11 Democratic primary, Tafoya consolidating conservatives, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$21,514 KL.
$21,514 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
90%
Republican
7%
$21,514 KL.
$21,514 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$15,763 KL.
90%
Republican
$5,752 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February retirement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 92% due to early general election polls showing Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig leading GOP frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 4-7 points, strong Democratic fundraising led by Craig's $4.8 million cash-on-hand, and the state's partisan lean—no Republican Senate win since 2002 amid Trump's 2024 four-point loss. Recent GOP strategist comments prefer facing progressive Flanagan over centrist Craig amid a $9 billion state fraud scandal, but primary polls favor Flanagan decisively. Scenarios challenging this include a bruising August 11 Democratic primary, Tafoya consolidating conservatives, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$21,514Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February retirement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 92% due to early general election polls showing Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig leading GOP frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 4-7 points, strong Democratic fundraising led by Craig's $4.8 million cash-on-hand, and the state's partisan lean—no Republican Senate win since 2002 amid Trump's 2024 four-point loss. Recent GOP strategist comments prefer facing progressive Flanagan over centrist Craig amid a $9 billion state fraud scandal, but primary polls favor Flanagan decisively. Scenarios challenging this include a bruising August 11 Democratic primary, Tafoya consolidating conservatives, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$21,514Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February retirement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 92% due to early general election polls showing Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig leading GOP frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 4-7 points, strong Democratic fundraising led by Craig's $4.8 million cash-on-hand, and the state's partisan lean—no Republican Senate win since 2002 amid Trump's 2024 four-point loss. Recent GOP strategist comments prefer facing progressive Flanagan over centrist Craig amid a $9 billion state fraud scandal, but primary polls favor Flanagan decisively. Scenarios challenging this include a bruising August 11 Democratic primary, Tafoya consolidating conservatives, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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