Minnesota's open Senate seat, following Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement, features a Democratic primary contest between Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan ahead of the August 11 vote, with general election polling showing the eventual nominee leading Republican Michele Tafoya by mid-single to low-double digits. All major forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting Minnesota's consistent support for Democratic Senate candidates since 2002, modest statewide lean, and absence of a Republican victory in the chamber for over two decades. Trader consensus at 90.5% for Democrats incorporates these structural factors alongside early-cycle data, though a stronger-than-expected Republican nominee, shifts in national conditions, or primary-driven weaknesses could narrow the margin by November 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$25,178 KL.
$25,178 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
91%
Republican
11%
$25,178 KL.
$25,178 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$17,200 KL.
91%
Republican
$7,977 KL.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open Senate seat, following Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement, features a Democratic primary contest between Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan ahead of the August 11 vote, with general election polling showing the eventual nominee leading Republican Michele Tafoya by mid-single to low-double digits. All major forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting Minnesota's consistent support for Democratic Senate candidates since 2002, modest statewide lean, and absence of a Republican victory in the chamber for over two decades. Trader consensus at 90.5% for Democrats incorporates these structural factors alongside early-cycle data, though a stronger-than-expected Republican nominee, shifts in national conditions, or primary-driven weaknesses could narrow the margin by November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$25,178Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open Senate seat, following Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement, features a Democratic primary contest between Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan ahead of the August 11 vote, with general election polling showing the eventual nominee leading Republican Michele Tafoya by mid-single to low-double digits. All major forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting Minnesota's consistent support for Democratic Senate candidates since 2002, modest statewide lean, and absence of a Republican victory in the chamber for over two decades. Trader consensus at 90.5% for Democrats incorporates these structural factors alongside early-cycle data, though a stronger-than-expected Republican nominee, shifts in national conditions, or primary-driven weaknesses could narrow the margin by November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$25,178Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open Senate seat, following Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement, features a Democratic primary contest between Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan ahead of the August 11 vote, with general election polling showing the eventual nominee leading Republican Michele Tafoya by mid-single to low-double digits. All major forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting Minnesota's consistent support for Democratic Senate candidates since 2002, modest statewide lean, and absence of a Republican victory in the chamber for over two decades. Trader consensus at 90.5% for Democrats incorporates these structural factors alongside early-cycle data, though a stronger-than-expected Republican nominee, shifts in national conditions, or primary-driven weaknesses could narrow the margin by November 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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