Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, features a Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, between U.S. Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, with the general election set for November 3. The state's consistent Democratic voting patterns in recent Senate contests, combined with a deep bench of established Democratic candidates and the absence of prominent Republican contenders after several high-profile figures declined to run, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic victor. Primary polling remains competitive between the two leading Democrats but shows limited crossover appeal for any Republican nominee. Late developments such as convention endorsements and campaign finance dynamics have not altered the broader structural advantages for the Democratic nominee. A Republican win would require an unusually strong national midterm environment, an exceptionally weak Democratic general-election candidate, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals that reopen the field.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$33,700 KL.
$33,700 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
7%
$33,700 KL.
$33,700 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$22,641 KL.
94%
Republican
$11,059 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, features a Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, between U.S. Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, with the general election set for November 3. The state's consistent Democratic voting patterns in recent Senate contests, combined with a deep bench of established Democratic candidates and the absence of prominent Republican contenders after several high-profile figures declined to run, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic victor. Primary polling remains competitive between the two leading Democrats but shows limited crossover appeal for any Republican nominee. Late developments such as convention endorsements and campaign finance dynamics have not altered the broader structural advantages for the Democratic nominee. A Republican win would require an unusually strong national midterm environment, an exceptionally weak Democratic general-election candidate, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals that reopen the field.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$33,700Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, features a Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, between U.S. Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, with the general election set for November 3. The state's consistent Democratic voting patterns in recent Senate contests, combined with a deep bench of established Democratic candidates and the absence of prominent Republican contenders after several high-profile figures declined to run, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic victor. Primary polling remains competitive between the two leading Democrats but shows limited crossover appeal for any Republican nominee. Late developments such as convention endorsements and campaign finance dynamics have not altered the broader structural advantages for the Democratic nominee. A Republican win would require an unusually strong national midterm environment, an exceptionally weak Democratic general-election candidate, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals that reopen the field.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$33,700Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, features a Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, between U.S. Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, with the general election set for November 3. The state's consistent Democratic voting patterns in recent Senate contests, combined with a deep bench of established Democratic candidates and the absence of prominent Republican contenders after several high-profile figures declined to run, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic victor. Primary polling remains competitive between the two leading Democrats but shows limited crossover appeal for any Republican nominee. Late developments such as convention endorsements and campaign finance dynamics have not altered the broader structural advantages for the Democratic nominee. A Republican win would require an unusually strong national midterm environment, an exceptionally weak Democratic general-election candidate, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals that reopen the field.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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