Minnesota's 2026 Senate race features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Tina Smith declined to run again, with the Democratic primary between Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig set for August 11. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Likely Democratic, citing the state's consistent support for Democratic Senate candidates and limited Republican recruitment success after several prominent figures declined to run. Recent polling shows Democratic nominees ahead of leading Republican primary contenders by margins of 6-13 points, while the GOP primary has centered on candidates like Michele Tafoya without producing a clear frontrunner capable of shifting the race's fundamentals. These dynamics have produced trader consensus around a strong Democratic advantage heading into the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$25,251 KL.
$25,251 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
90%
Republican
11%
$25,251 KL.
$25,251 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$17,227 KL.
90%
Republican
$8,024 KL.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's 2026 Senate race features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Tina Smith declined to run again, with the Democratic primary between Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig set for August 11. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Likely Democratic, citing the state's consistent support for Democratic Senate candidates and limited Republican recruitment success after several prominent figures declined to run. Recent polling shows Democratic nominees ahead of leading Republican primary contenders by margins of 6-13 points, while the GOP primary has centered on candidates like Michele Tafoya without producing a clear frontrunner capable of shifting the race's fundamentals. These dynamics have produced trader consensus around a strong Democratic advantage heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$25,251Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's 2026 Senate race features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Tina Smith declined to run again, with the Democratic primary between Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig set for August 11. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Likely Democratic, citing the state's consistent support for Democratic Senate candidates and limited Republican recruitment success after several prominent figures declined to run. Recent polling shows Democratic nominees ahead of leading Republican primary contenders by margins of 6-13 points, while the GOP primary has centered on candidates like Michele Tafoya without producing a clear frontrunner capable of shifting the race's fundamentals. These dynamics have produced trader consensus around a strong Democratic advantage heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$25,251Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 2026 Senate race features an open seat after incumbent Democrat Tina Smith declined to run again, with the Democratic primary between Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig set for August 11. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Likely Democratic, citing the state's consistent support for Democratic Senate candidates and limited Republican recruitment success after several prominent figures declined to run. Recent polling shows Democratic nominees ahead of leading Republican primary contenders by margins of 6-13 points, while the GOP primary has centered on candidates like Michele Tafoya without producing a clear frontrunner capable of shifting the race's fundamentals. These dynamics have produced trader consensus around a strong Democratic advantage heading into the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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