Minnesota’s longstanding preference for Democratic-Federal Labor candidates in federal contests, combined with Peggy Flanagan’s decisive August primary win over Rep. Angie Craig, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring her in the open-seat race to succeed retiring Sen. Tina Smith. As lieutenant governor, Flanagan enters the general election with broad party infrastructure and name recognition, while Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a political newcomer, faces the challenge of overcoming the state’s partisan baseline where Republicans have not won a Senate seat since 2002. Recent polling aggregates show Flanagan ahead by roughly four to six points, reflecting these structural factors. A shift could occur through unexpected turnout surges, late developments on immigration or state fraud concerns, or national political waves that alter voter priorities before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$69,074 KL.
$69,074 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$69,074 KL.
$69,074 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$50,049 KL.
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$19,025 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota’s longstanding preference for Democratic-Federal Labor candidates in federal contests, combined with Peggy Flanagan’s decisive August primary win over Rep. Angie Craig, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring her in the open-seat race to succeed retiring Sen. Tina Smith. As lieutenant governor, Flanagan enters the general election with broad party infrastructure and name recognition, while Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a political newcomer, faces the challenge of overcoming the state’s partisan baseline where Republicans have not won a Senate seat since 2002. Recent polling aggregates show Flanagan ahead by roughly four to six points, reflecting these structural factors. A shift could occur through unexpected turnout surges, late developments on immigration or state fraud concerns, or national political waves that alter voter priorities before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$69,074Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota’s longstanding preference for Democratic-Federal Labor candidates in federal contests, combined with Peggy Flanagan’s decisive August primary win over Rep. Angie Craig, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring her in the open-seat race to succeed retiring Sen. Tina Smith. As lieutenant governor, Flanagan enters the general election with broad party infrastructure and name recognition, while Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a political newcomer, faces the challenge of overcoming the state’s partisan baseline where Republicans have not won a Senate seat since 2002. Recent polling aggregates show Flanagan ahead by roughly four to six points, reflecting these structural factors. A shift could occur through unexpected turnout surges, late developments on immigration or state fraud concerns, or national political waves that alter voter priorities before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$69,074Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota’s longstanding preference for Democratic-Federal Labor candidates in federal contests, combined with Peggy Flanagan’s decisive August primary win over Rep. Angie Craig, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring her in the open-seat race to succeed retiring Sen. Tina Smith. As lieutenant governor, Flanagan enters the general election with broad party infrastructure and name recognition, while Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a political newcomer, faces the challenge of overcoming the state’s partisan baseline where Republicans have not won a Senate seat since 2002. Recent polling aggregates show Flanagan ahead by roughly four to six points, reflecting these structural factors. A shift could occur through unexpected turnout surges, late developments on immigration or state fraud concerns, or national political waves that alter voter priorities before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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