**Republican nominee Pete Stauber holds an 85.5% implied probability in the MN-08 House race, compared with 13.5% for Democratic nominee Trina Swanson.** The district’s R+7 partisan voting index and Stauber’s 2024 margin provide a structural baseline advantage for the incumbent Republican, reinforced by unanimous “Solid” or “Safe” Republican ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Stauber secured renomination with 86% in the August 11 primary, while Swanson won her nomination with 77%. No head-to-head polling or major campaign developments have emerged since the primaries, leaving the race’s competitive dynamics largely unchanged heading into the November 3 general election. Trader consensus therefore aligns closely with the district’s established partisan tilt and historical results.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-08 House Election Winner
MN-08 House Election Winner
$21,078 KL.
$21,078 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
14%
$21,078 KL.
$21,078 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$11,205 KL.
86%
Democratic Party
$9,873 KL.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Pete Stauber holds an 85.5% implied probability in the MN-08 House race, compared with 13.5% for Democratic nominee Trina Swanson.**
The district’s R+7 partisan voting index and Stauber’s 2024 margin provide a structural baseline advantage for the incumbent Republican, reinforced by unanimous “Solid” or “Safe” Republican ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Stauber secured renomination with 86% in the August 11 primary, while Swanson won her nomination with 77%. No head-to-head polling or major campaign developments have emerged since the primaries, leaving the race’s competitive dynamics largely unchanged heading into the November 3 general election. Trader consensus therefore aligns closely with the district’s established partisan tilt and historical results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$21,078Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Pete Stauber holds an 85.5% implied probability in the MN-08 House race, compared with 13.5% for Democratic nominee Trina Swanson.**
The district’s R+7 partisan voting index and Stauber’s 2024 margin provide a structural baseline advantage for the incumbent Republican, reinforced by unanimous “Solid” or “Safe” Republican ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Stauber secured renomination with 86% in the August 11 primary, while Swanson won her nomination with 77%. No head-to-head polling or major campaign developments have emerged since the primaries, leaving the race’s competitive dynamics largely unchanged heading into the November 3 general election. Trader consensus therefore aligns closely with the district’s established partisan tilt and historical results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$21,078Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee Pete Stauber holds an 85.5% implied probability in the MN-08 House race, compared with 13.5% for Democratic nominee Trina Swanson.** The district’s R+7 partisan voting index and Stauber’s 2024 margin provide a structural baseline advantage for the incumbent Republican, reinforced by unanimous “Solid” or “Safe” Republican ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Stauber secured renomination with 86% in the August 11 primary, while Swanson won her nomination with 77%. No head-to-head polling or major campaign developments have emerged since the primaries, leaving the race’s competitive dynamics largely unchanged heading into the November 3 general election. Trader consensus therefore aligns closely with the district’s established partisan tilt and historical results.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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