Maryland's 8th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs, features a Partisan Voter Index of D+30 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin, seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages and faces only limited Republican primary opposition ahead of the June 23 primaries. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's structural tilt and the absence of competitive challengers. Trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 93% implied probability aligns with these baseline conditions. Late developments that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen primary surprise, a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political shift capable of overcoming the district's partisan gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-08 House Election Winner
MD-08 House Election Winner
$14,688 KL.
$14,688 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
9%
$14,688 KL.
$14,688 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,455 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$8,232 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs, features a Partisan Voter Index of D+30 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin, seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages and faces only limited Republican primary opposition ahead of the June 23 primaries. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's structural tilt and the absence of competitive challengers. Trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 93% implied probability aligns with these baseline conditions. Late developments that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen primary surprise, a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political shift capable of overcoming the district's partisan gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,688Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs, features a Partisan Voter Index of D+30 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin, seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages and faces only limited Republican primary opposition ahead of the June 23 primaries. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's structural tilt and the absence of competitive challengers. Trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 93% implied probability aligns with these baseline conditions. Late developments that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen primary surprise, a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political shift capable of overcoming the district's partisan gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$14,688Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 8th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs, features a Partisan Voter Index of D+30 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin, seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages and faces only limited Republican primary opposition ahead of the June 23 primaries. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's structural tilt and the absence of competitive challengers. Trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 93% implied probability aligns with these baseline conditions. Late developments that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen primary surprise, a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political shift capable of overcoming the district's partisan gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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