Incumbent Democrat April McClain-Delaney holds a commanding position in Maryland's 6th Congressional District, a reliably blue seat that supported Kamala Harris by 15 points in 2024, driving trader consensus to price Democratic victory at 88%. Recent polling from the Public Sentiment Institute (April 8-11, 2026) underscores this, showing McClain-Delaney leading a generic Republican 55-31% and potential primary challenger David Trone at 59-31% against the same benchmark. Her internal Hart Research survey (March 16-21) indicates a 49-37% edge over Trone ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary, bolstered by endorsements from Governor Wes Moore and the state's Democratic congressional delegation. Republicans, including candidates like Chris Burnett and Neil Parrott, face steep structural barriers in this Montgomery and Frederick County-heavy district, with limited fundraising or polling traction, keeping their odds at 9.5% amid historical base rates favoring incumbents in D+13 Cook PVI territory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-06 House Election Winner
MD-06 House Election Winner
$10,230 KL.
$10,230 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
10%
$10,230 KL.
$10,230 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,341 KL.
88%
Republican Party
$7,888 KL.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat April McClain-Delaney holds a commanding position in Maryland's 6th Congressional District, a reliably blue seat that supported Kamala Harris by 15 points in 2024, driving trader consensus to price Democratic victory at 88%. Recent polling from the Public Sentiment Institute (April 8-11, 2026) underscores this, showing McClain-Delaney leading a generic Republican 55-31% and potential primary challenger David Trone at 59-31% against the same benchmark. Her internal Hart Research survey (March 16-21) indicates a 49-37% edge over Trone ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary, bolstered by endorsements from Governor Wes Moore and the state's Democratic congressional delegation. Republicans, including candidates like Chris Burnett and Neil Parrott, face steep structural barriers in this Montgomery and Frederick County-heavy district, with limited fundraising or polling traction, keeping their odds at 9.5% amid historical base rates favoring incumbents in D+13 Cook PVI territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,230Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat April McClain-Delaney holds a commanding position in Maryland's 6th Congressional District, a reliably blue seat that supported Kamala Harris by 15 points in 2024, driving trader consensus to price Democratic victory at 88%. Recent polling from the Public Sentiment Institute (April 8-11, 2026) underscores this, showing McClain-Delaney leading a generic Republican 55-31% and potential primary challenger David Trone at 59-31% against the same benchmark. Her internal Hart Research survey (March 16-21) indicates a 49-37% edge over Trone ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary, bolstered by endorsements from Governor Wes Moore and the state's Democratic congressional delegation. Republicans, including candidates like Chris Burnett and Neil Parrott, face steep structural barriers in this Montgomery and Frederick County-heavy district, with limited fundraising or polling traction, keeping their odds at 9.5% amid historical base rates favoring incumbents in D+13 Cook PVI territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$10,230Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat April McClain-Delaney holds a commanding position in Maryland's 6th Congressional District, a reliably blue seat that supported Kamala Harris by 15 points in 2024, driving trader consensus to price Democratic victory at 88%. Recent polling from the Public Sentiment Institute (April 8-11, 2026) underscores this, showing McClain-Delaney leading a generic Republican 55-31% and potential primary challenger David Trone at 59-31% against the same benchmark. Her internal Hart Research survey (March 16-21) indicates a 49-37% edge over Trone ahead of the June 23 Democratic primary, bolstered by endorsements from Governor Wes Moore and the state's Democratic congressional delegation. Republicans, including candidates like Chris Burnett and Neil Parrott, face steep structural barriers in this Montgomery and Frederick County-heavy district, with limited fundraising or polling traction, keeping their odds at 9.5% amid historical base rates favoring incumbents in D+13 Cook PVI territory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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