The redrawn Texas congressional map, enacted in 2025, shifted TX-35 from a Democratic stronghold into a district with a Republican lean, prompting incumbent Greg Casar to seek another seat and creating an open race rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. Nominees Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff's deputy, and Carlos De La Cruz, a Trump-endorsed Air Force veteran, emerged from May runoffs; a late-August poll showed them statistically tied. Traders' consensus pricing the Democratic nominee ahead appears driven by the district's Hispanic-majority demographics, midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, and the narrow polling margin rather than structural advantages. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-35 House Election Winner
TX-35 House Election Winner
$12,444 KL.
$12,444 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
63%
Republican Party
38%
$12,444 KL.
$12,444 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,484 KL.
63%
Republican Party
$5,960 KL.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn Texas congressional map, enacted in 2025, shifted TX-35 from a Democratic stronghold into a district with a Republican lean, prompting incumbent Greg Casar to seek another seat and creating an open race rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. Nominees Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff's deputy, and Carlos De La Cruz, a Trump-endorsed Air Force veteran, emerged from May runoffs; a late-August poll showed them statistically tied. Traders' consensus pricing the Democratic nominee ahead appears driven by the district's Hispanic-majority demographics, midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, and the narrow polling margin rather than structural advantages. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,444Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn Texas congressional map, enacted in 2025, shifted TX-35 from a Democratic stronghold into a district with a Republican lean, prompting incumbent Greg Casar to seek another seat and creating an open race rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. Nominees Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff's deputy, and Carlos De La Cruz, a Trump-endorsed Air Force veteran, emerged from May runoffs; a late-August poll showed them statistically tied. Traders' consensus pricing the Democratic nominee ahead appears driven by the district's Hispanic-majority demographics, midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, and the narrow polling margin rather than structural advantages. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$12,444Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...The redrawn Texas congressional map, enacted in 2025, shifted TX-35 from a Democratic stronghold into a district with a Republican lean, prompting incumbent Greg Casar to seek another seat and creating an open race rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. Nominees Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff's deputy, and Carlos De La Cruz, a Trump-endorsed Air Force veteran, emerged from May runoffs; a late-August poll showed them statistically tied. Traders' consensus pricing the Democratic nominee ahead appears driven by the district's Hispanic-majority demographics, midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, and the narrow polling margin rather than structural advantages. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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