Redistricting shifted Texas's 35th congressional district southward and eastward, incorporating more of the San Antonio area and rural counties, resulting in an R+4 partisan voter index and an open seat after the prior incumbent moved districts. This produced nominees Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff's deputy, for Democrats and Trump-endorsed Air Force veteran Carlos De La Cruz for Republicans following May 2026 primary runoffs. A late-August poll showed De La Cruz at 45% and Garcia at 44% with 11% undecided, underscoring the competitive nature two months before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus placing the Democratic nominee ahead aligns with historical midterm patterns favoring the opposition party, while Republican structural advantages from the map and endorsements keep the race within reach for either side depending on turnout and late-cycle developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-35 House Election Winner
$13,513 KL.
$13,513 KL.
Democratic Party
60%
Republican Party
42%
$13,513 KL.
$13,513 KL.
Democratic Party
60%
Republican Party
42%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting shifted Texas's 35th congressional district southward and eastward, incorporating more of the San Antonio area and rural counties, resulting in an R+4 partisan voter index and an open seat after the prior incumbent moved districts. This produced nominees Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff's deputy, for Democrats and Trump-endorsed Air Force veteran Carlos De La Cruz for Republicans following May 2026 primary runoffs. A late-August poll showed De La Cruz at 45% and Garcia at 44% with 11% undecided, underscoring the competitive nature two months before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus placing the Democratic nominee ahead aligns with historical midterm patterns favoring the opposition party, while Republican structural advantages from the map and endorsements keep the race within reach for either side depending on turnout and late-cycle developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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