Texas's 18th congressional district remains a safely Democratic seat, with Christian Menefee as the incumbent following his January 2026 special election victory and May 2026 primary runoff win over Al Green. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent results such as Kamala Harris carrying it by wide margins in 2024, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election against Republican Ronald Whitfield. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, with limited Republican infrastructure or recent polling suggesting any path to competitiveness. A major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain improbable given the district's established voting patterns and candidate positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-18 House Election Winner
TX-18 House Election Winner
$16,128 KL.
$16,128 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$16,128 KL.
$16,128 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,424 KL.
97%
Republican Party
$1,704 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 18th congressional district remains a safely Democratic seat, with Christian Menefee as the incumbent following his January 2026 special election victory and May 2026 primary runoff win over Al Green. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent results such as Kamala Harris carrying it by wide margins in 2024, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election against Republican Ronald Whitfield. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, with limited Republican infrastructure or recent polling suggesting any path to competitiveness. A major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain improbable given the district's established voting patterns and candidate positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$16,128Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 18th congressional district remains a safely Democratic seat, with Christian Menefee as the incumbent following his January 2026 special election victory and May 2026 primary runoff win over Al Green. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent results such as Kamala Harris carrying it by wide margins in 2024, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election against Republican Ronald Whitfield. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, with limited Republican infrastructure or recent polling suggesting any path to competitiveness. A major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain improbable given the district's established voting patterns and candidate positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$16,128Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 18th congressional district remains a safely Democratic seat, with Christian Menefee as the incumbent following his January 2026 special election victory and May 2026 primary runoff win over Al Green. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent results such as Kamala Harris carrying it by wide margins in 2024, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election against Republican Ronald Whitfield. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, with limited Republican infrastructure or recent polling suggesting any path to competitiveness. A major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain improbable given the district's established voting patterns and candidate positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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