Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in Florida's 18th congressional district, reflected in trader consensus around 91% probability of a Republican victory. The seat carries an R+8 partisan voter index and delivered Franklin a 65% margin in 2024, consistent with strong Republican performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Both major-party primaries were canceled in August 2026, allowing Franklin to face Democrat Curtis Gibson and a minor third-party candidate in the November general election. Gibson's limited fundraising and the absence of competitive polling underscore the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, significant Republican scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical base rates in similar districts suggest limited scope for reversal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-18 House Election Winner
FL-18 House Election Winner
$37,179 KL.
$37,179 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
$37,179 KL.
$37,179 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$23,423 KL.
92%
Democratic Party
$13,757 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in Florida's 18th congressional district, reflected in trader consensus around 91% probability of a Republican victory. The seat carries an R+8 partisan voter index and delivered Franklin a 65% margin in 2024, consistent with strong Republican performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Both major-party primaries were canceled in August 2026, allowing Franklin to face Democrat Curtis Gibson and a minor third-party candidate in the November general election. Gibson's limited fundraising and the absence of competitive polling underscore the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, significant Republican scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical base rates in similar districts suggest limited scope for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Khối lượng
$37,179Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in Florida's 18th congressional district, reflected in trader consensus around 91% probability of a Republican victory. The seat carries an R+8 partisan voter index and delivered Franklin a 65% margin in 2024, consistent with strong Republican performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Both major-party primaries were canceled in August 2026, allowing Franklin to face Democrat Curtis Gibson and a minor third-party candidate in the November general election. Gibson's limited fundraising and the absence of competitive polling underscore the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, significant Republican scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical base rates in similar districts suggest limited scope for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$37,179Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in Florida's 18th congressional district, reflected in trader consensus around 91% probability of a Republican victory. The seat carries an R+8 partisan voter index and delivered Franklin a 65% margin in 2024, consistent with strong Republican performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Both major-party primaries were canceled in August 2026, allowing Franklin to face Democrat Curtis Gibson and a minor third-party candidate in the November general election. Gibson's limited fundraising and the absence of competitive polling underscore the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, significant Republican scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical base rates in similar districts suggest limited scope for reversal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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