The open WA-04 seat following Rep. Dan Newhouse's December 2025 retirement has drawn a crowded Republican field in the R+10 district, including Trump-endorsed Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, who leads first-quarter fundraising with $524,000 raised and $451,000 cash on hand through March 31. State Sen. Matt Boehnke and 2024 primary challenger Jerrod Sessler bolster the GOP contenders, while Democrat John Duresky remains the lone major Democratic candidate with modest $64,000 raised. Recent filings highlighting GOP financial dominance and the district's historical Republican reliability—last Democratic win in 1992—drive trader consensus to an 82% implied probability for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election after the August 4 top-two primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWA-04 House Election Winner
WA-04 House Election Winner
$23,963 KL.
$23,963 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
15%
$23,963 KL.
$23,963 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,492 KL.
82%
Democratic Party
$12,470 KL.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open WA-04 seat following Rep. Dan Newhouse's December 2025 retirement has drawn a crowded Republican field in the R+10 district, including Trump-endorsed Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, who leads first-quarter fundraising with $524,000 raised and $451,000 cash on hand through March 31. State Sen. Matt Boehnke and 2024 primary challenger Jerrod Sessler bolster the GOP contenders, while Democrat John Duresky remains the lone major Democratic candidate with modest $64,000 raised. Recent filings highlighting GOP financial dominance and the district's historical Republican reliability—last Democratic win in 1992—drive trader consensus to an 82% implied probability for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election after the August 4 top-two primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,963Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open WA-04 seat following Rep. Dan Newhouse's December 2025 retirement has drawn a crowded Republican field in the R+10 district, including Trump-endorsed Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, who leads first-quarter fundraising with $524,000 raised and $451,000 cash on hand through March 31. State Sen. Matt Boehnke and 2024 primary challenger Jerrod Sessler bolster the GOP contenders, while Democrat John Duresky remains the lone major Democratic candidate with modest $64,000 raised. Recent filings highlighting GOP financial dominance and the district's historical Republican reliability—last Democratic win in 1992—drive trader consensus to an 82% implied probability for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election after the August 4 top-two primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$23,963Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open WA-04 seat following Rep. Dan Newhouse's December 2025 retirement has drawn a crowded Republican field in the R+10 district, including Trump-endorsed Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, who leads first-quarter fundraising with $524,000 raised and $451,000 cash on hand through March 31. State Sen. Matt Boehnke and 2024 primary challenger Jerrod Sessler bolster the GOP contenders, while Democrat John Duresky remains the lone major Democratic candidate with modest $64,000 raised. Recent filings highlighting GOP financial dominance and the district's historical Republican reliability—last Democratic win in 1992—drive trader consensus to an 82% implied probability for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election after the August 4 top-two primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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