Washington's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat with a partisan voting index around R+10, encompassing central Washington areas including Yakima and the Tri-Cities. Incumbent Dan Newhouse's retirement opened the race, but the August 4, 2026, top-two primary advanced Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney as the Republican nominee and John Duresky as the Democratic nominee. McKinney secured the top spot with roughly 35% of the vote in a field of multiple Republicans. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, combined with the party's structural advantages in voter registration and turnout, underpin trader consensus around a high probability of a Republican hold in the November general election. No major late developments have altered the established partisan dynamics ahead of the general.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWA-04 House Election Winner
WA-04 House Election Winner
$45,144 KL.
$45,144 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
8%
$45,144 KL.
$45,144 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$24,200 KL.
90%
Democratic Party
$20,944 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat with a partisan voting index around R+10, encompassing central Washington areas including Yakima and the Tri-Cities. Incumbent Dan Newhouse's retirement opened the race, but the August 4, 2026, top-two primary advanced Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney as the Republican nominee and John Duresky as the Democratic nominee. McKinney secured the top spot with roughly 35% of the vote in a field of multiple Republicans. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, combined with the party's structural advantages in voter registration and turnout, underpin trader consensus around a high probability of a Republican hold in the November general election. No major late developments have altered the established partisan dynamics ahead of the general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$45,144Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat with a partisan voting index around R+10, encompassing central Washington areas including Yakima and the Tri-Cities. Incumbent Dan Newhouse's retirement opened the race, but the August 4, 2026, top-two primary advanced Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney as the Republican nominee and John Duresky as the Democratic nominee. McKinney secured the top spot with roughly 35% of the vote in a field of multiple Republicans. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, combined with the party's structural advantages in voter registration and turnout, underpin trader consensus around a high probability of a Republican hold in the November general election. No major late developments have altered the established partisan dynamics ahead of the general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$45,144Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 4th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat with a partisan voting index around R+10, encompassing central Washington areas including Yakima and the Tri-Cities. Incumbent Dan Newhouse's retirement opened the race, but the August 4, 2026, top-two primary advanced Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney as the Republican nominee and John Duresky as the Democratic nominee. McKinney secured the top spot with roughly 35% of the vote in a field of multiple Republicans. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, combined with the party's structural advantages in voter registration and turnout, underpin trader consensus around a high probability of a Republican hold in the November general election. No major late developments have altered the established partisan dynamics ahead of the general.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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