Incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore (D), who confirmed her re-election bid in late January and has held Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District since 2004 with landslide margins like 74.9% in the last general, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic victory in this solidly Democratic Milwaukee-based seat rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. No polls exist yet ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, where Moore faces minor Democratic challengers Amy Donahue and Asher Smale, while Republican Purnima Nath is the lone announced GOP contender. Absent recent catalysts in the past 30 days, odds reflect incumbency strength and district partisan lean; shifts could stem from a high-profile Republican recruit, Moore scandal, Democratic primary upset, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWI-04 House Election Winner
WI-04 House Election Winner
$15,438 KL.
$15,438 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$15,438 KL.
$15,438 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,837 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$10,601 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore (D), who confirmed her re-election bid in late January and has held Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District since 2004 with landslide margins like 74.9% in the last general, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic victory in this solidly Democratic Milwaukee-based seat rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. No polls exist yet ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, where Moore faces minor Democratic challengers Amy Donahue and Asher Smale, while Republican Purnima Nath is the lone announced GOP contender. Absent recent catalysts in the past 30 days, odds reflect incumbency strength and district partisan lean; shifts could stem from a high-profile Republican recruit, Moore scandal, Democratic primary upset, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,438Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore (D), who confirmed her re-election bid in late January and has held Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District since 2004 with landslide margins like 74.9% in the last general, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic victory in this solidly Democratic Milwaukee-based seat rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. No polls exist yet ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, where Moore faces minor Democratic challengers Amy Donahue and Asher Smale, while Republican Purnima Nath is the lone announced GOP contender. Absent recent catalysts in the past 30 days, odds reflect incumbency strength and district partisan lean; shifts could stem from a high-profile Republican recruit, Moore scandal, Democratic primary upset, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,438Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore (D), who confirmed her re-election bid in late January and has held Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District since 2004 with landslide margins like 74.9% in the last general, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic victory in this solidly Democratic Milwaukee-based seat rated Solid D by Cook Political Report. No polls exist yet ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries, where Moore faces minor Democratic challengers Amy Donahue and Asher Smale, while Republican Purnima Nath is the lone announced GOP contender. Absent recent catalysts in the past 30 days, odds reflect incumbency strength and district partisan lean; shifts could stem from a high-profile Republican recruit, Moore scandal, Democratic primary upset, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp