The open-seat race in Wisconsin’s 7th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany’s bid for governor, remains structurally favorable to the GOP in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles and the district’s northern and rural voter base. The crowded Republican primary on August 11 features multiple candidates, including early frontrunner Michael Alfonso, while Democrats contest their own primary; neither contest has produced shifts that alter the general-election outlook ahead of November 3. Trader consensus at 83% for a Republican win aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for comparable open seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWI-07 House Election Winner
WI-07 House Election Winner
$19,831 KL.
$19,831 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
18%
$19,831 KL.
$19,831 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,396 KL.
83%
Democratic Party
$10,435 KL.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat race in Wisconsin’s 7th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany’s bid for governor, remains structurally favorable to the GOP in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles and the district’s northern and rural voter base. The crowded Republican primary on August 11 features multiple candidates, including early frontrunner Michael Alfonso, while Democrats contest their own primary; neither contest has produced shifts that alter the general-election outlook ahead of November 3. Trader consensus at 83% for a Republican win aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for comparable open seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$19,831Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat race in Wisconsin’s 7th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany’s bid for governor, remains structurally favorable to the GOP in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles and the district’s northern and rural voter base. The crowded Republican primary on August 11 features multiple candidates, including early frontrunner Michael Alfonso, while Democrats contest their own primary; neither contest has produced shifts that alter the general-election outlook ahead of November 3. Trader consensus at 83% for a Republican win aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for comparable open seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$19,831Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open-seat race in Wisconsin’s 7th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany’s bid for governor, remains structurally favorable to the GOP in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles and the district’s northern and rural voter base. The crowded Republican primary on August 11 features multiple candidates, including early frontrunner Michael Alfonso, while Democrats contest their own primary; neither contest has produced shifts that alter the general-election outlook ahead of November 3. Trader consensus at 83% for a Republican win aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for comparable open seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp