The 2026 Hamilton mayoral race remains tight due to the rematch between incumbent Andrea Horwath and challenger Keanin Loomis, who lost by just 1,663 votes in 2022. Trader consensus gives Loomis a modest lead at 55 percent implied probability, reflecting his business leadership background, platform emphasis on safety, mobility, accountability, and taxpayer value, plus some polling showing him ahead among decided voters. Horwath's incumbency, recent 7-point tariff response plan, and focus on housing and downtown initiatives sustain her position near 37 percent. A crowded field of over a dozen other registered candidates, including Rob Cooper, Scarlett Gillespie, and Sasha Austin, fragments support but has not shifted the top two significantly. The first major debate on September 22 highlighted clashes over property taxes, affordable housing, and public safety, with the October 26 vote still weeks away and voter turnout patterns in key wards likely to determine separation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKeanin Loomis 55%
Andrea Horwath 37%
Scarlett Gillespie 4.8%
Sasha Austin 3.5%
$14,118 KL.
$14,118 KL.
Keanin Loomis
55%
Andrea Horwath
38%
Scarlett Gillespie
5%
Sasha Austin
4%
Paul Fromm
1%
Pamela Mitchell
<1%
Rob Cooper
<1%
Ejaz Butt
<1%
Nathalie Xian Yi Yan
<1%
Keanin Loomis 55%
Andrea Horwath 37%
Scarlett Gillespie 4.8%
Sasha Austin 3.5%
$14,118 KL.
$14,118 KL.
Keanin Loomis
55%
Andrea Horwath
38%
Scarlett Gillespie
5%
Sasha Austin
4%
Paul Fromm
1%
Pamela Mitchell
<1%
Rob Cooper
<1%
Ejaz Butt
<1%
Nathalie Xian Yi Yan
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Hamilton mayoral race remains tight due to the rematch between incumbent Andrea Horwath and challenger Keanin Loomis, who lost by just 1,663 votes in 2022. Trader consensus gives Loomis a modest lead at 55 percent implied probability, reflecting his business leadership background, platform emphasis on safety, mobility, accountability, and taxpayer value, plus some polling showing him ahead among decided voters. Horwath's incumbency, recent 7-point tariff response plan, and focus on housing and downtown initiatives sustain her position near 37 percent. A crowded field of over a dozen other registered candidates, including Rob Cooper, Scarlett Gillespie, and Sasha Austin, fragments support but has not shifted the top two significantly. The first major debate on September 22 highlighted clashes over property taxes, affordable housing, and public safety, with the October 26 vote still weeks away and voter turnout patterns in key wards likely to determine separation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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