Mary Peltola's 49.5% finish in the August 18 top-four primary, ahead of incumbent Republican Dan S. Sullivan's 41.4%, has driven trader consensus toward her as the general election favorite under ranked-choice voting. Both advanced easily with the other two spots going to lesser-known Republicans including Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. and Gerald Heikes, while Democrat David Leslie withdrew. The race remains one of the most competitive Senate contests nationally, with forecasters rating it a toss-up or lean Republican entering the fall. Peltola's fundraising parity, name recognition from her prior House service, and appeal in a state with independent voters contrast with Sullivan's incumbency advantages and legislative record on energy and defense issues. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning since primary certification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAlaska Senate Election Winner
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 64%
Sen. Dan Sullivan 37%
Dustin Darden <1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. <1%
$467,009 KL.
$467,009 KL.
Mary Peltola
64%
Sen. Dan Sullivan
37%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
David Leslie
<1%
Mary Peltola 64%
Sen. Dan Sullivan 37%
Dustin Darden <1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. <1%
$467,009 KL.
$467,009 KL.
Mary Peltola
64%
Sen. Dan Sullivan
37%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
David Leslie
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola's 49.5% finish in the August 18 top-four primary, ahead of incumbent Republican Dan S. Sullivan's 41.4%, has driven trader consensus toward her as the general election favorite under ranked-choice voting. Both advanced easily with the other two spots going to lesser-known Republicans including Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. and Gerald Heikes, while Democrat David Leslie withdrew. The race remains one of the most competitive Senate contests nationally, with forecasters rating it a toss-up or lean Republican entering the fall. Peltola's fundraising parity, name recognition from her prior House service, and appeal in a state with independent voters contrast with Sullivan's incumbency advantages and legislative record on energy and defense issues. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning since primary certification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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