Former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola leads trader consensus at 63.5% implied probability in the Alaska U.S. Senate race against incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan (34.5%), driven by a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing her ahead 52%-48% in the ranked-choice voting final round and a record Q1 fundraising haul of $8.9 million—quadrupling Sullivan's $2.1 million—announced April 14, signaling strong national Democratic backing despite his cash-on-hand advantage. Alaska's top-four nonpartisan primary on August 18 and RCV general election on November 3 favor Peltola's moderate appeal and prior House wins under the system, while minor candidates like Richard Grayson trail far behind amid her momentum. Recent polling trends and fundraising underscore the closely contested path-to-victory in this battleground matchup.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAlaska Senate Election Winner
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 64%
Dan Sullivan 35%
Richard Grayson <1%
Dustin Darden <1%
$302,134 KL.
$302,134 KL.
Mary Peltola
64%
Dan Sullivan
35%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Mary Peltola 64%
Dan Sullivan 35%
Richard Grayson <1%
Dustin Darden <1%
$302,134 KL.
$302,134 KL.
Mary Peltola
64%
Dan Sullivan
35%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola leads trader consensus at 63.5% implied probability in the Alaska U.S. Senate race against incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan (34.5%), driven by a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing her ahead 52%-48% in the ranked-choice voting final round and a record Q1 fundraising haul of $8.9 million—quadrupling Sullivan's $2.1 million—announced April 14, signaling strong national Democratic backing despite his cash-on-hand advantage. Alaska's top-four nonpartisan primary on August 18 and RCV general election on November 3 favor Peltola's moderate appeal and prior House wins under the system, while minor candidates like Richard Grayson trail far behind amid her momentum. Recent polling trends and fundraising underscore the closely contested path-to-victory in this battleground matchup.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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