**Anthony DiLorenzo leads the NH-01 Republican primary field at 88.5% in trader pricing, driven primarily by President Trump's July 2026 endorsement and subsequent consolidation of party support ahead of the September 8 primary.** Noveletsky holds the clearest second position at 10%, reflecting her prior visibility as a 2024 candidate and former state party vice chair, though she trails significantly after the endorsement. Earlier 2026 polls had shown Noveletsky with narrow leads or competitive positioning, but DiLorenzo's momentum from additional backers—including former Rep. Guinta and state-level figures—has narrowed the field. Lower-probability candidates like Bailey (who endorsed DiLorenzo), Cole, and Girard face structural challenges in fundraising and name recognition. The primary remains open following the incumbent's Senate bid, with Trump's signal viewed by traders as a decisive catalyst in a low-turnout contest. No major new developments have emerged in the immediate pre-primary window to alter this positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNH-01 Republican Primary Winner
NH-01 Republican Primary Winner
Anthony DiLorenzo 89%
Hollie Noveletsky 10%
Melissa Bailey <1%
Brian Cole <1%
$46,851 KL.
$46,851 KL.
Anthony DiLorenzo
89%
Hollie Noveletsky
10%
Melissa Bailey
1%
Brian Cole
1%
Elizabeth Girard
<1%
Anthony DiLorenzo 89%
Hollie Noveletsky 10%
Melissa Bailey <1%
Brian Cole <1%
$46,851 KL.
$46,851 KL.
Anthony DiLorenzo
89%
Hollie Noveletsky
10%
Melissa Bailey
1%
Brian Cole
1%
Elizabeth Girard
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Anthony DiLorenzo leads the NH-01 Republican primary field at 88.5% in trader pricing, driven primarily by President Trump's July 2026 endorsement and subsequent consolidation of party support ahead of the September 8 primary.** Noveletsky holds the clearest second position at 10%, reflecting her prior visibility as a 2024 candidate and former state party vice chair, though she trails significantly after the endorsement. Earlier 2026 polls had shown Noveletsky with narrow leads or competitive positioning, but DiLorenzo's momentum from additional backers—including former Rep. Guinta and state-level figures—has narrowed the field. Lower-probability candidates like Bailey (who endorsed DiLorenzo), Cole, and Girard face structural challenges in fundraising and name recognition. The primary remains open following the incumbent's Senate bid, with Trump's signal viewed by traders as a decisive catalyst in a low-turnout contest. No major new developments have emerged in the immediate pre-primary window to alter this positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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