Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race following term limits on Republican incumbent Ron DeSantis. All major nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. In the Republican primary, scheduled for August 18, Representative Byron Donalds holds a substantial lead over other contenders including Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins, backed by endorsements and consistent polling margins exceeding 40 points. Democratic primary frontrunner David Jolly trails Donalds by 5–9 points in head-to-head general-election surveys from multiple firms conducted in April–May 2026. These dynamics, combined with Florida's recent voting patterns favoring Republican statewide candidates, underpin the 78% Republican and 23% Democrat market prices reflecting trader consensus on the party's strong position entering the final months before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlorida Governor Election Winner
$21,273 KL.
$21,273 KL.

Republican
78%

Democrat
23%
$21,273 KL.
$21,273 KL.

Republican
78%

Democrat
23%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest is an open-seat race following term limits on Republican incumbent Ron DeSantis. All major nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. In the Republican primary, scheduled for August 18, Representative Byron Donalds holds a substantial lead over other contenders including Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins, backed by endorsements and consistent polling margins exceeding 40 points. Democratic primary frontrunner David Jolly trails Donalds by 5–9 points in head-to-head general-election surveys from multiple firms conducted in April–May 2026. These dynamics, combined with Florida's recent voting patterns favoring Republican statewide candidates, underpin the 78% Republican and 23% Democrat market prices reflecting trader consensus on the party's strong position entering the final months before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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