Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state, combined with term limits creating an open gubernatorial seat, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Forecasters rate the November 2026 contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the party's recent statewide performance. In the Republican primary, Rep. Byron Donalds holds a clear lead in recent polling with strong fundraising and endorsements, while potential general election matchups show GOP candidates ahead of Democratic frontrunners by roughly seven to nine points. Democratic primary fields remain more fragmented with higher undecided shares. These structural and polling dynamics explain the positioning of Republican outcomes as the leading probabilities ahead of the August primaries.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlorida Governor Election Winner
Florida Governor Election Winner
$21,170 KL.
$21,170 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
79%
Democrat
22%
$21,170 KL.
$21,170 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$8,396 KL.
79%
Democrat
$12,774 KL.
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state, combined with term limits creating an open gubernatorial seat, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Forecasters rate the November 2026 contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the party's recent statewide performance. In the Republican primary, Rep. Byron Donalds holds a clear lead in recent polling with strong fundraising and endorsements, while potential general election matchups show GOP candidates ahead of Democratic frontrunners by roughly seven to nine points. Democratic primary fields remain more fragmented with higher undecided shares. These structural and polling dynamics explain the positioning of Republican outcomes as the leading probabilities ahead of the August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$21,170Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state, combined with term limits creating an open gubernatorial seat, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Forecasters rate the November 2026 contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the party's recent statewide performance. In the Republican primary, Rep. Byron Donalds holds a clear lead in recent polling with strong fundraising and endorsements, while potential general election matchups show GOP candidates ahead of Democratic frontrunners by roughly seven to nine points. Democratic primary fields remain more fragmented with higher undecided shares. These structural and polling dynamics explain the positioning of Republican outcomes as the leading probabilities ahead of the August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$21,170Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state, combined with term limits creating an open gubernatorial seat, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Forecasters rate the November 2026 contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the party's recent statewide performance. In the Republican primary, Rep. Byron Donalds holds a clear lead in recent polling with strong fundraising and endorsements, while potential general election matchups show GOP candidates ahead of Democratic frontrunners by roughly seven to nine points. Democratic primary fields remain more fragmented with higher undecided shares. These structural and polling dynamics explain the positioning of Republican outcomes as the leading probabilities ahead of the August primaries.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp