The Republican incumbent Tony Wied's position in Wisconsin's 8th district, rated R+8 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 77% for the GOP nominee. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Wied won the open seat in 2024 with 57.3% of the vote. Multiple Democrats have entered the August 11 primary, yet none have altered the district's structural Republican lean. A recent ballot challenge involving one Democratic contender has drawn local attention but remains procedural. Upcoming primaries and general election dynamics could still shift implied probabilities if turnout or candidate strength deviates from baseline expectations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWI-08 House Election Winner
WI-08 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
23%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,171 KL.
77%
Democratic Party
$4,035 KL.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican incumbent Tony Wied's position in Wisconsin's 8th district, rated R+8 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 77% for the GOP nominee. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Wied won the open seat in 2024 with 57.3% of the vote. Multiple Democrats have entered the August 11 primary, yet none have altered the district's structural Republican lean. A recent ballot challenge involving one Democratic contender has drawn local attention but remains procedural. Upcoming primaries and general election dynamics could still shift implied probabilities if turnout or candidate strength deviates from baseline expectations.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,207Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican incumbent Tony Wied's position in Wisconsin's 8th district, rated R+8 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 77% for the GOP nominee. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Wied won the open seat in 2024 with 57.3% of the vote. Multiple Democrats have entered the August 11 primary, yet none have altered the district's structural Republican lean. A recent ballot challenge involving one Democratic contender has drawn local attention but remains procedural. Upcoming primaries and general election dynamics could still shift implied probabilities if turnout or candidate strength deviates from baseline expectations.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$8,207Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican incumbent Tony Wied's position in Wisconsin's 8th district, rated R+8 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 77% for the GOP nominee. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Wied won the open seat in 2024 with 57.3% of the vote. Multiple Democrats have entered the August 11 primary, yet none have altered the district's structural Republican lean. A recent ballot challenge involving one Democratic contender has drawn local attention but remains procedural. Upcoming primaries and general election dynamics could still shift implied probabilities if turnout or candidate strength deviates from baseline expectations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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