Recent polling in Texas's 15th congressional district shows Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido holding a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz, with one August survey placing Pulido at 50% and De La Cruz at 45%. This has contributed to trader pricing that slightly favors Democrats. The seat, redrawn in 2025 to favor Republicans based on 2024 presidential results, features a high-profile challenger whose name recognition in the Rio Grande Valley has narrowed the structural gap. Forecasters rate the race Lean Republican or Toss-up, reflecting the district's partisan shift alongside Pulido's competitive positioning in head-to-head surveys. No major late developments have altered the matchup since primaries concluded earlier this year.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-15 House Election Winner
TX-15 House Election Winner
$17,582 KL.
$17,582 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
56%
Republican Party
46%
$17,582 KL.
$17,582 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,856 KL.
56%
Republican Party
$10,725 KL.
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling in Texas's 15th congressional district shows Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido holding a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz, with one August survey placing Pulido at 50% and De La Cruz at 45%. This has contributed to trader pricing that slightly favors Democrats. The seat, redrawn in 2025 to favor Republicans based on 2024 presidential results, features a high-profile challenger whose name recognition in the Rio Grande Valley has narrowed the structural gap. Forecasters rate the race Lean Republican or Toss-up, reflecting the district's partisan shift alongside Pulido's competitive positioning in head-to-head surveys. No major late developments have altered the matchup since primaries concluded earlier this year.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$17,582Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling in Texas's 15th congressional district shows Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido holding a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz, with one August survey placing Pulido at 50% and De La Cruz at 45%. This has contributed to trader pricing that slightly favors Democrats. The seat, redrawn in 2025 to favor Republicans based on 2024 presidential results, features a high-profile challenger whose name recognition in the Rio Grande Valley has narrowed the structural gap. Forecasters rate the race Lean Republican or Toss-up, reflecting the district's partisan shift alongside Pulido's competitive positioning in head-to-head surveys. No major late developments have altered the matchup since primaries concluded earlier this year.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$17,582Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling in Texas's 15th congressional district shows Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido holding a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz, with one August survey placing Pulido at 50% and De La Cruz at 45%. This has contributed to trader pricing that slightly favors Democrats. The seat, redrawn in 2025 to favor Republicans based on 2024 presidential results, features a high-profile challenger whose name recognition in the Rio Grande Valley has narrowed the structural gap. Forecasters rate the race Lean Republican or Toss-up, reflecting the district's partisan shift alongside Pulido's competitive positioning in head-to-head surveys. No major late developments have altered the matchup since primaries concluded earlier this year.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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