Incumbent Democratic Representative Ritchie Torres secured the party's nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote against challengers including Michael Blake. The solidly Democratic Bronx-based district has delivered consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Torres's 2024 general election victory. With the Republican primary canceled and only Stylo Sapaskis advancing, traders price the Democratic nominee at 95.8 percent. A late-breaking scandal, significant health development, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though structural factors and fundraising patterns continue to underpin the current consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-15 House Election Winner
NY-15 House Election Winner
$46,119 KL.
$46,119 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$46,119 KL.
$46,119 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$26,923 KL.
96%
Republican Party
$19,196 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Ritchie Torres secured the party's nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote against challengers including Michael Blake. The solidly Democratic Bronx-based district has delivered consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Torres's 2024 general election victory. With the Republican primary canceled and only Stylo Sapaskis advancing, traders price the Democratic nominee at 95.8 percent. A late-breaking scandal, significant health development, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though structural factors and fundraising patterns continue to underpin the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$46,119Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Ritchie Torres secured the party's nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote against challengers including Michael Blake. The solidly Democratic Bronx-based district has delivered consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Torres's 2024 general election victory. With the Republican primary canceled and only Stylo Sapaskis advancing, traders price the Democratic nominee at 95.8 percent. A late-breaking scandal, significant health development, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though structural factors and fundraising patterns continue to underpin the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$46,119Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Ritchie Torres secured the party's nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote against challengers including Michael Blake. The solidly Democratic Bronx-based district has delivered consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Torres's 2024 general election victory. With the Republican primary canceled and only Stylo Sapaskis advancing, traders price the Democratic nominee at 95.8 percent. A late-breaking scandal, significant health development, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election, though structural factors and fundraising patterns continue to underpin the current consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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