The Cusco provincial mayoral race for the October 4, 2026, municipal elections features a crowded field with no dominant frontrunner, as reflected in trader consensus favoring Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar at 36.5% while William Peña Farfán sits at 19.5% and the remaining candidates trail further. High undecided voter shares near 50% in recent surveys, combined with regional party fragmentation and limited polling differentiation, sustain tight implied probabilities. Arenas draws on prior district-level executive experience, Peña Farfán emphasizes campaign visibility through caravans, and others compete on local platforms without clear separation in voter preference data. Upcoming debates, candidate registration finalization, and any shifts in undecided blocs could widen gaps ahead of election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAlbert Aníbal Arenas Yabar 37%
William Peña Farfán 20%
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte 17.3%
Eduardo Zans Loayza 15.8%
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar
37%
William Peña Farfán
20%
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte
17%
Eduardo Zans Loayza
16%
Gabriela Paliza Romero
16%
Delfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla
12%
Jesyka Guevara Villanueva
6%
Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano
6%
Sergio Sullca Condori
5%
Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez
5%
Jorge Luis Segura Ttito
4%
Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres
6%
Eulogio Tapia Deza
11%
Federico Huamán Tapara
1%
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar 37%
William Peña Farfán 20%
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte 17.3%
Eduardo Zans Loayza 15.8%
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar
37%
William Peña Farfán
20%
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte
17%
Eduardo Zans Loayza
16%
Gabriela Paliza Romero
16%
Delfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla
12%
Jesyka Guevara Villanueva
6%
Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano
6%
Sergio Sullca Condori
5%
Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez
5%
Jorge Luis Segura Ttito
4%
Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres
6%
Eulogio Tapia Deza
11%
Federico Huamán Tapara
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Cusco provincial mayoral race for the October 4, 2026, municipal elections features a crowded field with no dominant frontrunner, as reflected in trader consensus favoring Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar at 36.5% while William Peña Farfán sits at 19.5% and the remaining candidates trail further. High undecided voter shares near 50% in recent surveys, combined with regional party fragmentation and limited polling differentiation, sustain tight implied probabilities. Arenas draws on prior district-level executive experience, Peña Farfán emphasizes campaign visibility through caravans, and others compete on local platforms without clear separation in voter preference data. Upcoming debates, candidate registration finalization, and any shifts in undecided blocs could widen gaps ahead of election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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