The Florida Republican primary for governor, set for August 18, 2026, features a crowded field led by Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, Rep. Byron Donalds, James Fishback, and Paul Renner, with no endorsement from Gov. Ron DeSantis. Recent polling indicates a tight contest between Collins and Donalds for the top spots, while Fishback's eligibility challenge from Collins was dismissed by a judge, keeping him on the ballot. Trader consensus on second place remains closely matched near even odds across several contenders, reflecting uncertainty over final positioning in the closing weeks. Key factors include fundraising thresholds for debates, voter outreach on issues like insurance reform and housing, and the impact of late campaign events on turnout among Republican primary voters. A strong showing in remaining polls or a debate performance could shift implied probabilities for any candidate.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlorida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
Jay Collins 51%
James Fishback 44%
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey 4.1%
James Walker Shaw 3.9%
$20,157 KL.
$20,157 KL.
Jay Collins
51%
James Fishback
44%
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
4%
James Walker Shaw
4%
Byron Donalds
1%
Paul Renner
1%
Jim Holcomb
<1%
Daniel Nokovich
<1%
Rachel Rodriguez
<1%
Caneste Succe
<1%
Bobby Williams
<1%
Jay Collins 51%
James Fishback 44%
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey 4.1%
James Walker Shaw 3.9%
$20,157 KL.
$20,157 KL.
Jay Collins
51%
James Fishback
44%
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
4%
James Walker Shaw
4%
Byron Donalds
1%
Paul Renner
1%
Jim Holcomb
<1%
Daniel Nokovich
<1%
Rachel Rodriguez
<1%
Caneste Succe
<1%
Bobby Williams
<1%
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Jul 10, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Florida Republican primary for governor, set for August 18, 2026, features a crowded field led by Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, Rep. Byron Donalds, James Fishback, and Paul Renner, with no endorsement from Gov. Ron DeSantis. Recent polling indicates a tight contest between Collins and Donalds for the top spots, while Fishback's eligibility challenge from Collins was dismissed by a judge, keeping him on the ballot. Trader consensus on second place remains closely matched near even odds across several contenders, reflecting uncertainty over final positioning in the closing weeks. Key factors include fundraising thresholds for debates, voter outreach on issues like insurance reform and housing, and the impact of late campaign events on turnout among Republican primary voters. A strong showing in remaining polls or a debate performance could shift implied probabilities for any candidate.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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