Javier Milei holds the leading position in the 2027 Argentine presidential race as incumbent, with trader consensus reflecting his consolidation of La Libertad Avanza support and consistent first-round polling edges over main challenger Axel Kicillof. Recent national surveys through August 2026 show Milei at 28-33% against Kicillof’s 22-33%, with narrow gaps or near-ties in runoff hypotheticals, while other candidates including Sergio Massa and Myriam Bregman trail significantly. Economic indicators—slowing yet volatile inflation, revised growth forecasts, and industrial challenges—shape sentiment alongside Kicillof’s strength in Buenos Aires province and Peronist coordination. Upcoming polling trends and legislative dynamics through 2027 remain key variables influencing implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJavier Milei 52%
Axel Kicillof 35%
Sergio Massa 7.4%
Myriam Bregman 2.9%
$645,040 KL.
$645,040 KL.
Javier Milei
52%
Axel Kicillof
35%
Sergio Massa
7%
Myriam Bregman
3%
Dante Gebel
2%
Juan Grabois
1%
Victoria Villarruel
1%
Esteban Bullrich
<1%
Juan Schiaretti
<1%
Facundo Manes
<1%
Mauricio Macri
<1%
Javier Milei 52%
Axel Kicillof 35%
Sergio Massa 7.4%
Myriam Bregman 2.9%
$645,040 KL.
$645,040 KL.
Javier Milei
52%
Axel Kicillof
35%
Sergio Massa
7%
Myriam Bregman
3%
Dante Gebel
2%
Juan Grabois
1%
Victoria Villarruel
1%
Esteban Bullrich
<1%
Juan Schiaretti
<1%
Facundo Manes
<1%
Mauricio Macri
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Thị trường mở: May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Javier Milei holds the leading position in the 2027 Argentine presidential race as incumbent, with trader consensus reflecting his consolidation of La Libertad Avanza support and consistent first-round polling edges over main challenger Axel Kicillof. Recent national surveys through August 2026 show Milei at 28-33% against Kicillof’s 22-33%, with narrow gaps or near-ties in runoff hypotheticals, while other candidates including Sergio Massa and Myriam Bregman trail significantly. Economic indicators—slowing yet volatile inflation, revised growth forecasts, and industrial challenges—shape sentiment alongside Kicillof’s strength in Buenos Aires province and Peronist coordination. Upcoming polling trends and legislative dynamics through 2027 remain key variables influencing implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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