Incumbent Democrat Veronica Escobar holds a commanding position in Texas's 16th congressional district, a heavily Hispanic El Paso area with a D+11 partisan voter index that has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including her 59.5% win in 2024. She advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Adam Bauman emerged from a May runoff facing limited structural advantages in the solidly Democratic seat. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts remain possible from unexpected turnout surges, broader national political swings, or late campaign developments that alter voter mobilization in the district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-16 House Election Winner
TX-16 House Election Winner
$11,040 KL.
$11,040 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$11,040 KL.
$11,040 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,020 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$6,021 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Veronica Escobar holds a commanding position in Texas's 16th congressional district, a heavily Hispanic El Paso area with a D+11 partisan voter index that has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including her 59.5% win in 2024. She advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Adam Bauman emerged from a May runoff facing limited structural advantages in the solidly Democratic seat. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts remain possible from unexpected turnout surges, broader national political swings, or late campaign developments that alter voter mobilization in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,040Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Veronica Escobar holds a commanding position in Texas's 16th congressional district, a heavily Hispanic El Paso area with a D+11 partisan voter index that has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including her 59.5% win in 2024. She advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Adam Bauman emerged from a May runoff facing limited structural advantages in the solidly Democratic seat. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts remain possible from unexpected turnout surges, broader national political swings, or late campaign developments that alter voter mobilization in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,040Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Veronica Escobar holds a commanding position in Texas's 16th congressional district, a heavily Hispanic El Paso area with a D+11 partisan voter index that has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including her 59.5% win in 2024. She advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Adam Bauman emerged from a May runoff facing limited structural advantages in the solidly Democratic seat. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts remain possible from unexpected turnout surges, broader national political swings, or late campaign developments that alter voter mobilization in the district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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