The South Carolina 1st congressional district remains structurally favorable to Republicans ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat opened after incumbent Nancy Mace pursued the governorship instead of re-election, but the Lowcountry district delivered a 13-point Trump margin in 2024 and carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+6. Recent June 9 primaries produced crowded fields, with Republican runoff contenders Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith and Democratic runoff candidates Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford set to face off June 23. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, and traders' 67.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee aligns with the district's consistent partisan baseline and limited recent polling shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-01 House Election Winner
SC-01 House Election Winner
$39,026 KL.
$39,026 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
68%
Democratic Party
32%
$39,026 KL.
$39,026 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,266 KL.
68%
Democratic Party
$31,760 KL.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The South Carolina 1st congressional district remains structurally favorable to Republicans ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat opened after incumbent Nancy Mace pursued the governorship instead of re-election, but the Lowcountry district delivered a 13-point Trump margin in 2024 and carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+6. Recent June 9 primaries produced crowded fields, with Republican runoff contenders Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith and Democratic runoff candidates Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford set to face off June 23. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, and traders' 67.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee aligns with the district's consistent partisan baseline and limited recent polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$39,026Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The South Carolina 1st congressional district remains structurally favorable to Republicans ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat opened after incumbent Nancy Mace pursued the governorship instead of re-election, but the Lowcountry district delivered a 13-point Trump margin in 2024 and carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+6. Recent June 9 primaries produced crowded fields, with Republican runoff contenders Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith and Democratic runoff candidates Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford set to face off June 23. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, and traders' 67.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee aligns with the district's consistent partisan baseline and limited recent polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$39,026Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The South Carolina 1st congressional district remains structurally favorable to Republicans ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat opened after incumbent Nancy Mace pursued the governorship instead of re-election, but the Lowcountry district delivered a 13-point Trump margin in 2024 and carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+6. Recent June 9 primaries produced crowded fields, with Republican runoff contenders Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith and Democratic runoff candidates Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford set to face off June 23. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, and traders' 67.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee aligns with the district's consistent partisan baseline and limited recent polling shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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