Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn's commanding position in the SC-06 House race stems from the district's established Democratic lean, his long tenure representing the Black Belt region including Columbia and North Charleston, and his decisive June 2026 primary victory. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability of holding the seat on November 3, reflecting the seat's consistent performance in recent cycles and the absence of major shifts in voter composition. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in this majority-minority district. Potential developments that could narrow the margin include successful congressional map redrawing by state Republicans before the general election, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unforeseen candidate-specific events that alter the race dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-06 House Election Winner
SC-06 House Election Winner
$29,163 KL.
$29,163 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$29,163 KL.
$29,163 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,515 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$15,647 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn's commanding position in the SC-06 House race stems from the district's established Democratic lean, his long tenure representing the Black Belt region including Columbia and North Charleston, and his decisive June 2026 primary victory. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability of holding the seat on November 3, reflecting the seat's consistent performance in recent cycles and the absence of major shifts in voter composition. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in this majority-minority district. Potential developments that could narrow the margin include successful congressional map redrawing by state Republicans before the general election, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unforeseen candidate-specific events that alter the race dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$29,163Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn's commanding position in the SC-06 House race stems from the district's established Democratic lean, his long tenure representing the Black Belt region including Columbia and North Charleston, and his decisive June 2026 primary victory. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability of holding the seat on November 3, reflecting the seat's consistent performance in recent cycles and the absence of major shifts in voter composition. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in this majority-minority district. Potential developments that could narrow the margin include successful congressional map redrawing by state Republicans before the general election, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unforeseen candidate-specific events that alter the race dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$29,163Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn's commanding position in the SC-06 House race stems from the district's established Democratic lean, his long tenure representing the Black Belt region including Columbia and North Charleston, and his decisive June 2026 primary victory. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability of holding the seat on November 3, reflecting the seat's consistent performance in recent cycles and the absence of major shifts in voter composition. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in this majority-minority district. Potential developments that could narrow the margin include successful congressional map redrawing by state Republicans before the general election, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unforeseen candidate-specific events that alter the race dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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