The SC-05 contest features an open seat after incumbent Ralph Norman (R) opted to run for governor, with Wes Climer securing the Republican nomination unopposed after the June 9 primary was canceled and Mallory Dittmer winning the Democratic primary. The district’s northern South Carolina footprint, including suburban and exurban areas around Rock Hill, carries a consistent Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, consistent with the seat’s history of double-digit GOP advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the Republican nominee because structural factors such as voter registration patterns, turnout baselines, and the absence of a high-profile Democratic challenger outweigh any general-election variables still months away. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered this positioning since the primaries concluded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-05 House Election Winner
SC-05 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
11%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,570 KL.
90%
Democratic Party
$1,796 KL.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The SC-05 contest features an open seat after incumbent Ralph Norman (R) opted to run for governor, with Wes Climer securing the Republican nomination unopposed after the June 9 primary was canceled and Mallory Dittmer winning the Democratic primary. The district’s northern South Carolina footprint, including suburban and exurban areas around Rock Hill, carries a consistent Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, consistent with the seat’s history of double-digit GOP advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the Republican nominee because structural factors such as voter registration patterns, turnout baselines, and the absence of a high-profile Democratic challenger outweigh any general-election variables still months away. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered this positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,367Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The SC-05 contest features an open seat after incumbent Ralph Norman (R) opted to run for governor, with Wes Climer securing the Republican nomination unopposed after the June 9 primary was canceled and Mallory Dittmer winning the Democratic primary. The district’s northern South Carolina footprint, including suburban and exurban areas around Rock Hill, carries a consistent Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, consistent with the seat’s history of double-digit GOP advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the Republican nominee because structural factors such as voter registration patterns, turnout baselines, and the absence of a high-profile Democratic challenger outweigh any general-election variables still months away. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered this positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$3,367Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The SC-05 contest features an open seat after incumbent Ralph Norman (R) opted to run for governor, with Wes Climer securing the Republican nomination unopposed after the June 9 primary was canceled and Mallory Dittmer winning the Democratic primary. The district’s northern South Carolina footprint, including suburban and exurban areas around Rock Hill, carries a consistent Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, consistent with the seat’s history of double-digit GOP advantages and limited Democratic infrastructure. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the Republican nominee because structural factors such as voter registration patterns, turnout baselines, and the absence of a high-profile Democratic challenger outweigh any general-election variables still months away. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered this positioning since the primaries concluded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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