Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson's dominant fundraising—$669,000 raised through March 31—and primary challengers' weak financials underpin trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 83% to win South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District House seat. The district's Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others, R+7 Partisan Voter Index, and Donald Trump's 14-point 2024 margin reflect entrenched GOP advantages, with Wilson securing 59.5% in the last general election. Democratic primary contenders like Roger Pruitt and David Robinson II trail far in cash-on-hand ahead of the June 9 primaries, limiting upset potential and keeping Democratic Party odds at 15.5%. Fragmented fields elevate Other to 50.5%, while candidates A and B hover near 50% amid nominee uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$22,252 KL.
$22,252 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
16%
$22,252 KL.
$22,252 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,057 KL.
83%
Democratic Party
$14,196 KL.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson's dominant fundraising—$669,000 raised through March 31—and primary challengers' weak financials underpin trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 83% to win South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District House seat. The district's Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others, R+7 Partisan Voter Index, and Donald Trump's 14-point 2024 margin reflect entrenched GOP advantages, with Wilson securing 59.5% in the last general election. Democratic primary contenders like Roger Pruitt and David Robinson II trail far in cash-on-hand ahead of the June 9 primaries, limiting upset potential and keeping Democratic Party odds at 15.5%. Fragmented fields elevate Other to 50.5%, while candidates A and B hover near 50% amid nominee uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$22,252Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson's dominant fundraising—$669,000 raised through March 31—and primary challengers' weak financials underpin trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 83% to win South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District House seat. The district's Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others, R+7 Partisan Voter Index, and Donald Trump's 14-point 2024 margin reflect entrenched GOP advantages, with Wilson securing 59.5% in the last general election. Democratic primary contenders like Roger Pruitt and David Robinson II trail far in cash-on-hand ahead of the June 9 primaries, limiting upset potential and keeping Democratic Party odds at 15.5%. Fragmented fields elevate Other to 50.5%, while candidates A and B hover near 50% amid nominee uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$22,252Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson's dominant fundraising—$669,000 raised through March 31—and primary challengers' weak financials underpin trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 83% to win South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District House seat. The district's Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others, R+7 Partisan Voter Index, and Donald Trump's 14-point 2024 margin reflect entrenched GOP advantages, with Wilson securing 59.5% in the last general election. Democratic primary contenders like Roger Pruitt and David Robinson II trail far in cash-on-hand ahead of the June 9 primaries, limiting upset potential and keeping Democratic Party odds at 15.5%. Fragmented fields elevate Other to 50.5%, while candidates A and B hover near 50% amid nominee uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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