The district's R+7 partisan voter index and consistent "Safe Republican" ratings from nonpartisan analysts underpin the Republican Party's leading 80.5% implied probability, reinforced by incumbent Joe Wilson's decisive primary victory on June 9. Democratic candidates remain in a June 23 runoff with limited path to victory in the general election, aligning with their 16.5% market share. Options labeled A and B near 50% each likely reflect trader positioning around the eventual major-party nominees ahead of the November 3 contest, while "Other" at 50.5% captures any residual third-party or independent scenarios. No major late developments have shifted the race from its historical Republican baseline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$31,736 KL.
$31,736 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
17%
$31,736 KL.
$31,736 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,475 KL.
81%
Democratic Party
$21,261 KL.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+7 partisan voter index and consistent "Safe Republican" ratings from nonpartisan analysts underpin the Republican Party's leading 80.5% implied probability, reinforced by incumbent Joe Wilson's decisive primary victory on June 9. Democratic candidates remain in a June 23 runoff with limited path to victory in the general election, aligning with their 16.5% market share. Options labeled A and B near 50% each likely reflect trader positioning around the eventual major-party nominees ahead of the November 3 contest, while "Other" at 50.5% captures any residual third-party or independent scenarios. No major late developments have shifted the race from its historical Republican baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$31,736Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+7 partisan voter index and consistent "Safe Republican" ratings from nonpartisan analysts underpin the Republican Party's leading 80.5% implied probability, reinforced by incumbent Joe Wilson's decisive primary victory on June 9. Democratic candidates remain in a June 23 runoff with limited path to victory in the general election, aligning with their 16.5% market share. Options labeled A and B near 50% each likely reflect trader positioning around the eventual major-party nominees ahead of the November 3 contest, while "Other" at 50.5% captures any residual third-party or independent scenarios. No major late developments have shifted the race from its historical Republican baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$31,736Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's R+7 partisan voter index and consistent "Safe Republican" ratings from nonpartisan analysts underpin the Republican Party's leading 80.5% implied probability, reinforced by incumbent Joe Wilson's decisive primary victory on June 9. Democratic candidates remain in a June 23 runoff with limited path to victory in the general election, aligning with their 16.5% market share. Options labeled A and B near 50% each likely reflect trader positioning around the eventual major-party nominees ahead of the November 3 contest, while "Other" at 50.5% captures any residual third-party or independent scenarios. No major late developments have shifted the race from its historical Republican baseline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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