Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson secured his party's nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 74% of the vote, facing minimal opposition in South Carolina's 2nd District. The seat carries a consistent Republican lean, reflected in Wilson's 59.5% general-election margin in 2024 and its Solid Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts. Democratic candidates David Robinson II and Zyon Khalifa advanced to a June 23 runoff after splitting the June 9 primary vote, leaving their nominee undetermined and the party's general-election prospects limited. Trader consensus prices Republican victory near 80% while assigning low probability to the Democratic nominee, consistent with historical results and the absence of recent polling shifts or scandals that would alter the baseline outlook ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-02 House Election Winner
$31,735 KL.
$31,735 KL.
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
17%
$31,735 KL.
$31,735 KL.
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
17%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson secured his party's nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 74% of the vote, facing minimal opposition in South Carolina's 2nd District. The seat carries a consistent Republican lean, reflected in Wilson's 59.5% general-election margin in 2024 and its Solid Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts. Democratic candidates David Robinson II and Zyon Khalifa advanced to a June 23 runoff after splitting the June 9 primary vote, leaving their nominee undetermined and the party's general-election prospects limited. Trader consensus prices Republican victory near 80% while assigning low probability to the Democratic nominee, consistent with historical results and the absence of recent polling shifts or scandals that would alter the baseline outlook ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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