The Republican Party's 84% implied probability in the TX-21 House election stems from former MLB star Mark Teixeira's decisive victory in the March 3, 2026, GOP primary for the open seat vacated by incumbent Chip Roy, who shifted to the Texas attorney general race. TX-21, spanning the ruby-red Texas Hill Country and San Antonio suburbs, has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles, bolstered by strong GOP voter registration edges and historical turnout advantages. The Democratic nominee emerged from a low-profile primary with limited fundraising or polling visibility, reinforcing trader consensus on a safe Republican hold ahead of the November general election, barring unforeseen scandals or national midterm waves.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-21 House Election Winner
TX-21 House Election Winner
$28,165 KL.
$28,165 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
15%
$28,165 KL.
$28,165 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$15,497 KL.
84%
Democratic Party
$12,668 KL.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party's 84% implied probability in the TX-21 House election stems from former MLB star Mark Teixeira's decisive victory in the March 3, 2026, GOP primary for the open seat vacated by incumbent Chip Roy, who shifted to the Texas attorney general race. TX-21, spanning the ruby-red Texas Hill Country and San Antonio suburbs, has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles, bolstered by strong GOP voter registration edges and historical turnout advantages. The Democratic nominee emerged from a low-profile primary with limited fundraising or polling visibility, reinforcing trader consensus on a safe Republican hold ahead of the November general election, barring unforeseen scandals or national midterm waves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,165Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party's 84% implied probability in the TX-21 House election stems from former MLB star Mark Teixeira's decisive victory in the March 3, 2026, GOP primary for the open seat vacated by incumbent Chip Roy, who shifted to the Texas attorney general race. TX-21, spanning the ruby-red Texas Hill Country and San Antonio suburbs, has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles, bolstered by strong GOP voter registration edges and historical turnout advantages. The Democratic nominee emerged from a low-profile primary with limited fundraising or polling visibility, reinforcing trader consensus on a safe Republican hold ahead of the November general election, barring unforeseen scandals or national midterm waves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$28,165Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party's 84% implied probability in the TX-21 House election stems from former MLB star Mark Teixeira's decisive victory in the March 3, 2026, GOP primary for the open seat vacated by incumbent Chip Roy, who shifted to the Texas attorney general race. TX-21, spanning the ruby-red Texas Hill Country and San Antonio suburbs, has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles, bolstered by strong GOP voter registration edges and historical turnout advantages. The Democratic nominee emerged from a low-profile primary with limited fundraising or polling visibility, reinforcing trader consensus on a safe Republican hold ahead of the November general election, barring unforeseen scandals or national midterm waves.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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