The NY-21 race centers on an open seat in a district with an R+10 Partisan Voter Index, where Republicans have held the seat for over a decade. Anthony Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary over Assemblyman Robert Smullen, backed by pro-Trump support, while dairy farmer Blake Gendebien won the Democratic primary. Recent August polling shows mixed results, with one survey giving Constantino a 13-point edge after leaners and another showing Gendebien narrowly ahead. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 70.5% for Republicans reflects the district's established partisan lean, limited Democratic inroads despite the open seat, and fundraising patterns favoring the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-21 House Election Winner
NY-21 House Election Winner
$61,161 KL.
$61,161 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
28%
$61,161 KL.
$61,161 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$31,390 KL.
70%
Democratic Party
$29,770 KL.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-21 race centers on an open seat in a district with an R+10 Partisan Voter Index, where Republicans have held the seat for over a decade. Anthony Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary over Assemblyman Robert Smullen, backed by pro-Trump support, while dairy farmer Blake Gendebien won the Democratic primary. Recent August polling shows mixed results, with one survey giving Constantino a 13-point edge after leaners and another showing Gendebien narrowly ahead. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 70.5% for Republicans reflects the district's established partisan lean, limited Democratic inroads despite the open seat, and fundraising patterns favoring the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$61,161Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-21 race centers on an open seat in a district with an R+10 Partisan Voter Index, where Republicans have held the seat for over a decade. Anthony Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary over Assemblyman Robert Smullen, backed by pro-Trump support, while dairy farmer Blake Gendebien won the Democratic primary. Recent August polling shows mixed results, with one survey giving Constantino a 13-point edge after leaners and another showing Gendebien narrowly ahead. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 70.5% for Republicans reflects the district's established partisan lean, limited Democratic inroads despite the open seat, and fundraising patterns favoring the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$61,161Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...The NY-21 race centers on an open seat in a district with an R+10 Partisan Voter Index, where Republicans have held the seat for over a decade. Anthony Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary over Assemblyman Robert Smullen, backed by pro-Trump support, while dairy farmer Blake Gendebien won the Democratic primary. Recent August polling shows mixed results, with one survey giving Constantino a 13-point edge after leaners and another showing Gendebien narrowly ahead. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 70.5% for Republicans reflects the district's established partisan lean, limited Democratic inroads despite the open seat, and fundraising patterns favoring the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp