The district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections underpin the strong trader consensus for a Republican victory. Wesley Hunt's decision to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, yet the suburban Houston district's voting patterns in recent cycles, including strong Republican performance in 2024 statewide races, have kept the race noncompetitive. Jon Bonck's decisive primary runoff win consolidated GOP support ahead of the November general election against Democrat Melissa McDonough. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge could narrow margins, but the structural partisan baseline and completed nomination process limit realistic paths for an upset.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-38 House Election Winner
TX-38 House Election Winner
$28,006 KL.
$28,006 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
5%
$28,006 KL.
$28,006 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$17,956 KL.
93%
Democratic Party
$10,050 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections underpin the strong trader consensus for a Republican victory. Wesley Hunt's decision to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, yet the suburban Houston district's voting patterns in recent cycles, including strong Republican performance in 2024 statewide races, have kept the race noncompetitive. Jon Bonck's decisive primary runoff win consolidated GOP support ahead of the November general election against Democrat Melissa McDonough. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge could narrow margins, but the structural partisan baseline and completed nomination process limit realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,006Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections underpin the strong trader consensus for a Republican victory. Wesley Hunt's decision to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, yet the suburban Houston district's voting patterns in recent cycles, including strong Republican performance in 2024 statewide races, have kept the race noncompetitive. Jon Bonck's decisive primary runoff win consolidated GOP support ahead of the November general election against Democrat Melissa McDonough. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge could narrow margins, but the structural partisan baseline and completed nomination process limit realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$28,006Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...The district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections underpin the strong trader consensus for a Republican victory. Wesley Hunt's decision to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, yet the suburban Houston district's voting patterns in recent cycles, including strong Republican performance in 2024 statewide races, have kept the race noncompetitive. Jon Bonck's decisive primary runoff win consolidated GOP support ahead of the November general election against Democrat Melissa McDonough. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge could narrow margins, but the structural partisan baseline and completed nomination process limit realistic paths for an upset.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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