Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a strong position in Florida's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat's R+10 partisan voter index and the effects of recent Republican-led mid-decade redistricting that added Republican-leaning territory statewide. Giménez, who won reelection in 2024 with over 64 percent of the vote, faces Democrat Phil Ehr in a matchup where both parties' primaries were effectively uncontested. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ rate the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in the Miami-area and Keys district. The market's 93.5 percent Republican consensus aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive primary challenges. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major national political shifts before Election Day, candidate-specific scandals or health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-28 House Election Winner
FL-28 House Election Winner
$57,564 KL.
$57,564 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$57,564 KL.
$57,564 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$33,834 KL.
94%
Democratic Party
$23,731 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a strong position in Florida's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat's R+10 partisan voter index and the effects of recent Republican-led mid-decade redistricting that added Republican-leaning territory statewide. Giménez, who won reelection in 2024 with over 64 percent of the vote, faces Democrat Phil Ehr in a matchup where both parties' primaries were effectively uncontested. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ rate the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in the Miami-area and Keys district. The market's 93.5 percent Republican consensus aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive primary challenges. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major national political shifts before Election Day, candidate-specific scandals or health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$57,564Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a strong position in Florida's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat's R+10 partisan voter index and the effects of recent Republican-led mid-decade redistricting that added Republican-leaning territory statewide. Giménez, who won reelection in 2024 with over 64 percent of the vote, faces Democrat Phil Ehr in a matchup where both parties' primaries were effectively uncontested. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ rate the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in the Miami-area and Keys district. The market's 93.5 percent Republican consensus aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive primary challenges. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major national political shifts before Election Day, candidate-specific scandals or health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$57,564Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a strong position in Florida's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat's R+10 partisan voter index and the effects of recent Republican-led mid-decade redistricting that added Republican-leaning territory statewide. Giménez, who won reelection in 2024 with over 64 percent of the vote, faces Democrat Phil Ehr in a matchup where both parties' primaries were effectively uncontested. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ rate the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent GOP performance in the Miami-area and Keys district. The market's 93.5 percent Republican consensus aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive primary challenges. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major national political shifts before Election Day, candidate-specific scandals or health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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